Prediction for match Athletic Club — Real Sociedad, 01.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In La Liga on February 1st, Athletic Club will face Real Sociedad. Odds for Athletic Club's victory are set at 2.40, for a draw at 3.23, and for Real Sociedad's win at 3.46. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Athletic Club - 41.04%, draw - 30.49%, Real Sociedad - 28.47%. Based on these figures, Athletic Club is considered the favorite, but the gap between the teams is not too large, reflecting a tight competition in the league table. The lines also highlight high odds on totals, which is linked to both teams' scoring performances in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Athletic Club has an average ball possession of 41.2%, receives an average of 3.4 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.2 times per game. Real Sociedad, over the same period, controls the ball 46.8% of the time, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and is offside 2.6 times. In Athletic Club's last three matches: 28.01.2026 - Athletic Club - Sporting Lisbon 2-3, 24.01.2026 - Sevilla - Athletic Club 2-1, 21.01.2026 - Atalanta - Athletic Club 2-3. For Real Sociedad: 25.01.2026 - Real Sociedad - Celta 3-1, 18.01.2026 - Real Sociedad - Barcelona 2-1, 13.01.2026 - Real Sociedad - Osasuna 6-5. Their last head-to-head encounter was on 01.11.2025 - Real Sociedad - Athletic Club 3-2.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

Both teams have shown high scoring levels over the last five games. Athletic Club has an average total of 5 goals per match, while Real Sociedad averages 3.2. Athletic Club scores 2.4 and concedes 2.6, while Real Sociedad scores 2 and concedes 1.2. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Athletic Club has 5 out of 5, Real Sociedad 4 out of 5. In the first half, Athletic Club had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, Real Sociedad only once. In the second half, Athletic Club had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Real Sociedad 5 out of 5. Goal timing: Athletic Club often scores between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (31% each), concedes most between 31-45 (33%). Real Sociedad is most prolific towards the end: 61-75 and 76-90 (33% each), and concedes most between 61-75 (29%). Given both teams' high scoring potential, frequent over 2.5 goals, and strong second-half activity, it's logical to expect at least three goals. Over 2.5 goals is offered at 2.30.

Corner Totals Analysis

Athletic Club averages 5.8 corners per match, Real Sociedad 5. In the last five matches, both teams exceeded over 9.5 corners 4 out of 5 times. Among totals with two outcomes, the closest to the average corner sum (10.8) is total 10.5: over 10.5 - 2.28, under 10.5 - 1.53. In the corner outcome line, Athletic Club is favored with odds of 1.51. Statistically, both teams consistently deliver 5 or more corners, and over 9.5 corners have been regularly recorded in their matches. It's reasonable to consider a bet on over 10.5 corners or individual team corner totals.