Prediction for match Athletic Club — Real Sociedad

Match Analysis: Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

On February 11th, Athletic Club will face Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey. Bookmakers have set the odds for an Athletic Club win at 2.34, a draw at 3.26, and a Real Sociedad win at 3.36. The implied probabilities are: Athletic Club - 41.42%, draw - 29.73%, Real Sociedad - 28.85%. The odds slightly favor Athletic Club, but the teams are closely matched, promising an intense encounter.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last three matches, Athletic Club played as follows: February 8 - Athletic Club vs Levante - 4-2, February 4 - Valencia vs Athletic Club - 1-2, February 1 - Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad - 1-1. Real Sociedad's last three results were: February 7 - Real Sociedad vs Elche - 3-1, February 4 - Alaves vs Real Sociedad - 2-3, February 1 - Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad - 1-1. On average, over their last five games, Athletic Club had 48.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per match. Real Sociedad averaged 39.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head on February 1 ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have been scoring prolifically: Athletic Club has an average total of 3.8 goals per game over five matches, while Real Sociedad averages 3.6. Both teams have seen the total over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, highlighting their attacking play. Athletic Club scores an average of 2 goals per game, and Real Sociedad 2.4. They concede 1.8 and 1.2 goals respectively. In first halves, Athletic Club had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, Real Sociedad in 2 out of 5. In second halves, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. Athletic Club frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (30% each), and concedes mostly from 76 to 90 minutes (40%). Real Sociedad scores most often between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Their conceded goals are evenly spread: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). This suggests a high probability of a high-scoring game. A bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.27 seems optimal, considering both teams' attacking profiles and frequent overs.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Over the last five matches, Athletic Club averaged 4.8 corners, and Real Sociedad 3.8. Both teams have gone over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. The total closest to their combined average (8.6) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 corners is at 1.63, under 8.5 at 2.14. Athletic Club is favored to win the corner count at 1.70. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners, as both teams regularly win at least 4 corners per game, and their matches often feature attacking play. A bet on Athletic Club to win the corner count is also worth considering, given their higher average.