Prediction for match Athletic Club — Sporting CP, 28.01.2026

Match Analysis: Athletic Club vs Sporting CP

In the Champions League on January 28, Athletic Club will face Sporting CP. According to the 1X2 odds, Athletic Club's win is priced at 2.26, Sporting CP's victory is at 3.40, and a draw is at 3.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Athletic Club - 43.62%, Draw - 27.38%, Sporting CP - 29.00%. Bookmakers slightly favor Athletic Club, but Sporting CP also has a considerable chance for a positive result. The total goals market is intriguing as well: over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.87, and "both teams to score: yes" is at 1.62. Expectations for a high-scoring match are justified, considering both teams' attacking profiles in recent games.

Team Results and Statistics

Athletic Club played various opponents in their last five matches: they lost to Sevilla 1-2 on January 24, defeated Atalanta 3-2 on January 21, and lost to Mallorca 2-3 on January 17. They also won against Cultural Leonesa 4-3 and were defeated by Barcelona 0-5. Sporting CP, in a similar period, won against Arouca 2-1, overcame PSG 2-1, thrashed Casa Pia 3-0, drew with Gil Vicente 1-1, and confidently beat Rio Ave 4-0. In their head-to-head on July 27, 2024, Sporting CP was stronger than Athletic Club with a 3-0 victory. Additional statistics show that Athletic Club had an average possession of 38.2% over 5 matches, committed 10.4 fouls, recorded 1.2 offsides, and received 2.6 yellow cards. Sporting CP had 54.8% possession, 12.2 fouls, 0.8 offsides, and 2.2 yellow cards. These numbers reflect the difference in playing style: Sporting CP focuses more on ball control, while Athletic Club plays more directly.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

Both teams show a strong over-profile in terms of scoring. In a series of five matches, Athletic Club had over 2.5 goals in all 5, while Sporting CP had it in 4 out of 5. The average goals in Athletic Club's matches were 5, and Sporting CP's were 3. In terms of goals scored: Athletic Club - 2, Sporting CP - 2.4, with Athletic Club conceding 3 and Sporting CP only 0.6. In the first half, Athletic Club had over 1.5 goals 4 times out of 5, and in the second half - 1 out of 5. Sporting CP had over 1.5 goals only once in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Regarding goal intervals, Athletic Club scores most often between 31-45 minutes (38%) and concedes in the same interval (44%). Sporting CP scores most frequently in the intervals 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (27% each), and concedes most in the intervals 31-45 and 76-90 (50% each). Considering the high scoring rate of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals, and stable attacking performance, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.87 seems justified.

Corners Total Analysis

Both teams are identical in terms of average corners: 5.6 per match in a five-match series. In the last 5 matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners 4 times out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.2) is 11.5. Over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.45, under 11.5 at 1.25. Athletic Club is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.60. Given the high activity of both teams on corner kicks, it's logical to consider options for over 9.5 or 10.5 corners, as well as an advantage for Athletic Club in the number of corners.