Prediction for match Athletic Club — Valencia

Match Analysis: Athletic Club vs Valencia

In La Liga on 10.05.2026, Athletic Club will face Valencia. The odds for an Athletic Club victory are 1.77, a draw is at 4.00, and Valencia's win is priced at 5.02. In terms of probabilities: Athletic Club - 55.71%, draw - 24.65%, Valencia - 19.64%. The most likely outcome is a win for Athletic Club, but a draw is also possible given the nearly 25% chance. In additional markets, both teams to score: yes - 1.83, no - 1.89, over 2.5 goals - 1.97, under 2.5 goals - 1.97. The option for over 2.5 goals at 1.97 is intriguing considering the teams' scoring stats.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Athletic Club had an average possession of 52.4%, received 1.6 yellow cards, committed 12.6 fouls, and were caught offside 0.6 times per game. Valencia, over the same period, had an average possession of 42.8%, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 14.4 fouls, and were caught offside 2.6 times. Athletic Club's last three matches: 02.05.2026 Alaves - Athletic Club 2-4, 25.04.2026 Atletico Madrid - Athletic Club 3-2, 21.04.2026 Athletic Club - Osasuna 1-0. Valencia played as follows: 02.05.2026 Valencia - Atletico Madrid 0-2, 25.04.2026 Valencia - Girona 2-1, 21.04.2026 Mallorca - Valencia 1-1. In their last head-to-head on 04.02.2026, Valencia lost to Athletic Club 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Athletic Club, in their last five matches, had an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 per game. Valencia's average total goals were 2.6, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Athletic Club had 3 out of 5 matches over, Valencia had 2 out of 5. By halves: Athletic Club had only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, but 2 out of 5 in the second. Valencia had 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second half, but none in the first. In goal intervals, Athletic Club most frequently scores and concedes between 76-90 minutes (33%). Valencia most often scores between 46-60 minutes (50%) and concedes between 61-75 (43%). Given these data, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.97 seems logical: both teams tend to have high-scoring finishes, and their average goal stats support the over.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Athletic Club has averaged 6.4 corners over the last five matches, while Valencia averaged 4.6. For over 9.5 corners: Athletic Club had 1 out of 5, Valencia had 2 out of 5. Adding the averages gives us 11 corners per match. Among the corner markets, over 11 goes at 2.65, under 11 at 1.42. Athletic Club is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.37. Considering both teams' average activity in corner kicks, looking at over 11 corners is reasonable. Additionally, Valencia's higher offside frequency - 2.6 per game - could lead to more set pieces. Overall, both teams are capable of creating enough chances for a high corner total.