Prediction for match Atlas — Tijuana

Match Analysis: Atlas vs Tijuana

On March 5th in Liga MX, Atlas will face Tijuana. According to the 1X2 odds, Atlas is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.10, a draw at 3.28, and a Tijuana victory at 3.42. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Atlas win at 44.36%, draw at 28.40%, and Tijuana win at 27.24%. This setup reflects the analysts' view of Atlas having an advantage, although a draw is not out of the question. In the goal total market, the option closest to the average match scoring is over 2.5 goals at 1.90, making it an attractive forecast.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atlas played as follows: on 28.02.2026 Juárez defeated Atlas 3-1, on 21.02.2026 Atlas beat Atlético San Luis 3-2, and on 14.02.2026 Pachuca defeated Atlas 3-1. During the same period, Tijuana recorded these results: on 28.02.2026 Tijuana drew with UNAM Pumas 1-1, on 22.02.2026 Tijuana drew with Mazatlán 1-1, and on 14.02.2026 Toluca defeated Tijuana 1-0. Over their last five matches, Atlas averages 58.8% possession, commits 13.4 fouls, receives 1.4 yellow cards, and records 2.2 offsides per game. Tijuana's averages are 45.4% possession, 14.4 fouls, 2.6 yellow cards, and 2.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 08.11.2025, Tijuana defeated Atlas 2-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Atlas vs Tijuana

In a series of five matches, Atlas shows high scoring with an average total of 3.6 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2 goals per game. Tijuana's average goal total is significantly lower at 1.8, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Atlas has had 4 out of 5 games with three or more goals, while Tijuana has had 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Atlas has 4 out of 5 games, Tijuana 2 out of 5. In the second halves, Atlas has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, Tijuana 1 out of 5. Atlas most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%), while Tijuana scores most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%). Atlas concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Tijuana spreads its conceded goals evenly over four intervals at 25% each. Given Atlas's high scoring and frequent over 2.5 goal games, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Atlas averages 4 corners per match, while Tijuana averages 4.8. In the last five matches, Atlas hasn't surpassed a corner total over 9.5, while Tijuana has had 3 out of 5 games with 10 or more corners. The total closest to the sum of average corners (8.8) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.73, under 8.5 at 2.00. For the corner outcome, Atlas is the favorite with odds of 1.77. Based on both teams' average activity, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Tijuana's frequent surpassing of this total.