Prediction for match Atlas — Leon, 23.10.2025

What to know before betting?

Liga MX continues its tour in Mexico with the Atlas vs. Leon match on October 23, 2025. Leon is considered the favorite with odds of 2.35, which corresponds to a 40.20% chance of winning. Atlas's victory is valued at 2.88 (32.80%), and a draw is at 3.50 (26.99%). The percentage breakdown shows that the visitors have a slight advantage, and the outcome of the match seems quite open. Betting options slightly favor Leon, but Atlas also has a good chance of achieving a positive result.

Team Form

In their last five matches, Atlas has average stats: 1.4 goals scored, 1.6 conceded, 3.6 corners, 2.4 yellow cards, and 47.6% possession. In the same period, Leon scores 0.8, concedes 3, earns 6 corners per game, receives 2 yellow cards, and has 53.6% possession. Atlas lost their last home game to Atletico San Luis 0-2, but previously defeated Juarez 3-1 and Necaxa 3-2. Leon recently lost to Santos Laguna 0-2 and Tijuana 0-5, but drew 2-2 with Mazatlan. In head-to-head encounters, Leon often has the upper hand: they won 2-1 in 2025, and there was a goalless draw the year before.

How many goals to expect?

In terms of totals over the last five matches, Atlas had 2 out of 5 games over 2.5 goals, while Leon had 3 out of 5, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches from the visitors. On average, Atlas has 3 goals per match, and Leon has 3.8, with both teams often scoring in the 31-45 minute interval (27% for Atlas, 31% for Leon). Atlas concedes evenly across four segments: 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes. Leon mostly concedes in the second half: 33% in the 46-60 and 61-75 minute intervals. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times out of 5 for both teams, and in the second half, 2 out of 5 for Atlas and 3 out of 5 for Leon.

Corners in the match

Atlas averages 3.6 corners per game, while Leon averages 6. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners: 3 out of 5 for Atlas, 2 out of 5 for Leon. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 1.73, under 9.5 is 2.00. Atlas is favored to win on corners with odds of 1.91. This reflects a tendency for corners to be evenly distributed between the teams, with Leon taking more, but Atlas is favored.