Prediction for match Atlas — Mazatlán

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In Liga MX on January 31, Atlas will face Mazatlán. Bookmakers have marked Atlas as the favorite: their win is priced at 1.70, which translates to a probability of 54.86%. A draw is at 3.88 (24.04%), while a win for Mazatlán is at 4.42 (21.10%). These odds reflect Atlas's expected advantage, but recent match statistics for both teams suggest a closer look is needed. Over/under and both teams to score options are priced above 1.80, indicating uncertainty in terms of scoring. The outcome of this clash will largely depend on whether Mazatlán can improve their defense and capitalize on their chances, and if Atlas can exploit their opponent's weaknesses.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atlas has averaged 42.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Mazatlán has 43.6% possession, 2.4 yellows, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Atlas's last three matches: January 17, 2026, Necaxa 0-1 Atlas; January 14, 2026, Cruz Azul 2-0 Atlas; January 10, 2026, Atlas 1-0 Puebla. Mazatlán's: January 17, 2026, Mazatlán 1-5 Monterrey; January 13, 2026, Puebla 2-1 Mazatlán; January 10, 2026, Mazatlán 1-2 Juárez. In their head-to-head on September 20, 2025, Mazatlán and Atlas drew 1-1. Both teams have faced attacking challenges in these matches, but Mazatlán has conceded more, as reflected in their goals against statistics.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Atlas vs Mazatlán Match

Analyzing goal potential, Atlas has not hit over 2.5 goals in any of their last five matches - 0 out of 5 over, 5 out of 5 under. Mazatlán's situation differs: 3 out of 5 over 2.5, 2 out of 5 under. By halves, Atlas has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and the same in the second, while Mazatlán has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second. Atlas's average goals per match is 1.2, Mazatlán's is 3.0. Atlas scores an average of 0.4 and concedes 0.8, Mazatlán scores 0.8 and concedes 2.2. In terms of goal timing, Atlas most frequently scores in the 0-15 (40%) and 61-75 (40%) intervals, and concedes in the 31-45 (100%). Mazatlán scores most often in the 0-15 and 31-45 (33% each), and concedes in the 16-30 (40%). These data indicate Atlas's low scoring and Mazatlán's defensive issues, but considering Atlas's consistent unders and Mazatlán's moderate scoring, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.86 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of corners, Atlas averages 2.8 per match, Mazatlán 4. In the last five matches, Atlas has 2 out of 5 over 9.5 total corners, Mazatlán 3 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (6.8) is over 7.5 at 1.18 and under 11.5 at 1.36. There are also a couple of totals at 9.5: over 9.5 at 1.65, under 9.5 at 2.03. In terms of corner outcomes, Atlas is favored with odds of 1.66. In this match, a bet on a moderate number of corners is logical, as both teams average around 7-8 per game, and the frequency of over 9.5 corners does not exceed 3 out of 5 even for Mazatlán. Additionally, Atlas's low corner count supports a bet on under 9.5 corners.