Prediction for match Atlas — Monterrey

Match Analysis: Atlas vs Monterrey

In Liga MX on April 12, Atlas will face Monterrey. The odds suggest that Monterrey is the favorite, with a win priced at 2.22, Atlas at 3.04, and a draw at 3.40. The probability distribution for 1X2 is: Monterrey win - 41.96%, Atlas win - 30.64%, draw - 27.40%. This indicates Monterrey's advantage in current form and scoring ability. Additionally, the over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.84, making it an attractive option given both teams' scoring records.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atlas played as follows: lost 0-2 to Leon on April 5, drew 0-0 with Queretaro on March 21, and drew 1-1 with Toluca on March 15. Monterrey's last three games: won 2-1 against Atletico San Luis on April 4, lost 2-3 to Guadalajara on March 22, and drew 1-1 with Cruz Azul on March 18. Over the last five games, Atlas had an average possession of 40.8%, committed 12 fouls, received 2.6 yellow cards, and was caught offside 1.6 times per match. Monterrey's stats: 52.8% possession, 11 fouls, 2.8 yellow cards, and 0.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on July 27, 2025, Monterrey defeated Atlas 3-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Atlas vs Monterrey Match

In Atlas's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred twice, under 2.5 goals three times. Monterrey had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, with only one under. The average goals per match for Atlas is 2, and for Monterrey, it's 3.8. Atlas scored an average of 0.8 goals and conceded 1.2, while Monterrey scored 1.6 and conceded 2.2. In terms of halves, Atlas had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 3 out of 5 matches, but none in the first half. Monterrey had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 times, and twice in the first half. Atlas tends to score in the first 15 minutes and at the end (33% in each segment), while they concede mostly in the last 15 minutes (60%). Monterrey scores most frequently at the end (44%) and concedes evenly between the 46-60 and 76-90 minute marks (27% each). Considering Monterrey's high scoring rate and both teams' defensive instability, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

For average corners over five matches, Atlas averages 2.8, Monterrey 4, totaling 6.8. Atlas had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, Monterrey in 2 out of 5. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.91. Monterrey is favored in corners with odds of 1.92. Based on average corner stats and frequency, it's logical to expect a total closer to 9-10 corners, with Monterrey having the edge in this aspect.