Prediction for match Atlas — Toluca, 02.11.2025

Match Analysis: Atlas vs Toluca

In the upcoming Liga MX match between Atlas and Toluca on November 1, 2025, the odds clearly highlight a favorite. Toluca's victory is priced at 1.62, a draw at 4.50, and Atlas at 4.75. In percentage terms, Toluca has a 58.79% chance of winning, a draw is at 21.16%, and Atlas only has a 20.05% chance. This reflects a significant advantage for Toluca, although a draw cannot be ruled out given the distribution of chances.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at secondary indicators, Atlas has an average possession of 47% in their last five matches, with 2.2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Toluca, on the other hand, has higher possession at 57%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In Atlas's last three games: 26.10.2025 Guadalajara - Atlas 4-1, 23.10.2025 Atlas - Leon 2-0, 18.10.2025 Atletico San Luis - Atlas 2-0. For Toluca: 27.10.2025 Toluca - Pachuca 2-2, 23.10.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 0-0, 18.10.2025 Toluca - Queretaro 4-0. In their last head-to-head on April 13, 2025, Atlas and Toluca played a 2-3 match, with over 2.5 goals recorded.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The over 2.5 goals bet was successful in 3 out of Atlas's last 5 matches and in 4 out of 5 for Toluca. By halves, Atlas had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 4 out of 5, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Toluca had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5, and also 2 out of 5 in the second half. The average goal-scoring figures are the same: 3.6 goals per game for both teams. Atlas scores 1.8 and concedes 1.8, while Toluca scores 2.6 and concedes 1. The most frequent goal interval for both teams is the 16-30 minute mark: 29% for Atlas and 36% for Toluca. In terms of goals conceded, Atlas's distribution is 25% across four intervals (0-15, 16-30, 46-60, 61-75), while Toluca most often concedes between the 46-60 minute mark (43%). These data point to a high likelihood of both teams scoring, and an overall attacking style from both sides. Therefore, a bet on both teams to score: yes, seems most logical based on the combined statistics.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Atlas averages 3.2 corners per match, while Toluca averages 4.2. In the last five games, Atlas has twice exceeded a total of over 9.5 corners, whereas Toluca hasn't done so once. The line for corner totals is: over 9.5 at 1.73, under 9.5 at 2.00. A win on corners for Toluca is priced at 1.62. Based on current corner figures, considering an individual total for Toluca over 4.5 could be an option, but the overall total over 9.5 seems optimal given the attacking style of both teams.