Prediction for match Atlas — UNAM Pumas

Match Analysis: Atlas vs UNAM Pumas

In Liga MX, Atlas will face UNAM Pumas on February 8. The odds for an Atlas win are 2.80, a draw is at 3.15, and a UNAM Pumas victory is at 2.47. The implied probabilities are: Atlas - 33.09%, draw - 29.41%, UNAM Pumas - 37.51%. Based on these figures, UNAM Pumas is considered the favorite, although the gap with Atlas isn't overwhelming. The betting line also includes options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual totals, but the main odds lean towards UNAM Pumas.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atlas performed as follows: January 31 - Atlas vs Mazatlán - 1-0, January 17 - Necaxa vs Atlas - 0-1, January 14 - Cruz Azul vs Atlas - 2-0. UNAM Pumas' last three results were: February 4 - San Diego vs UNAM Pumas - 4-1, January 31 - UNAM Pumas vs Santos Laguna - 4-0, January 18 - UNAM Pumas vs León - 1-1. The last head-to-head match between these teams was on August 31, 2025, ending in a 1-0 win for UNAM Pumas. Over the last five matches, Atlas averages 47.2% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. UNAM Pumas holds 45.2% possession, receives 2.6 yellows, commits 12.2 fouls, and gets caught offside 2 times per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Atlas has an average of 1.4 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. UNAM Pumas shows higher numbers: 2.8 goals on average, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. Atlas has not hit over 2.5 goals in any of their last five matches (0 out of 5 over, 5 out of 5 under), while UNAM Pumas has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. In the first half, both teams have only 1 out of 5 matches going over 1.5 goals, while in the second half, Atlas has 1 out of 5 and UNAM Pumas has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals. Atlas most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (50%) and concedes between 31-45 minutes (100%). UNAM Pumas scores most often late in the game (76-90 minutes - 30%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (50%). Considering Atlas' low scoring and UNAM Pumas' moderate numbers, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical, especially with odds at 1.74 and Atlas' consistent under-profile.

Corner Totals Analysis

For average corners over 5 matches: Atlas - 2.4, UNAM Pumas - 2.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Atlas is 1 out of 5, and for UNAM Pumas, it's 3 out of 5. Looking at the total corners, the most closely aligned line to the average sum (5.2) is 7.5, with odds for both outcomes: over 7.5 corners - 1.28, under 7.5 - 3.21. For corners, UNAM Pumas is favored with odds of 2.05. Given the low averages for corners from both teams, it makes sense to consider under 9.5 or 8.5 totals, and be cautious with bets on high corner totals.