Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Arsenal

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Champions League on 29.04.2026, Atletico Madrid will face Arsenal. The odds for Arsenal to win are 2.72, for Atletico Madrid to win - 2.88, and a draw is at 3.33. The 1X2 outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Atletico Madrid - 34.20%, draw - 29.58%, Arsenal - 36.22%. For the total over 2.0, the odds are 1.65, and for under 2.5 - 1.70. The odds for both teams to score: yes is at 1.88, no - 1.84. For double chance 1X for Atletico Madrid, the odds are 1.52.

Team Results and Statistics

Atletico Madrid's last three matches: 25.04.2026 - Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - 3-2, 22.04.2026 - Elche vs Atletico Madrid - 3-2, 18.04.2026 - Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad - 5-6. Arsenal's recent games: 25.04.2026 - Arsenal vs Newcastle - 1-0, 19.04.2026 - Manchester City vs Arsenal - 2-1, 15.04.2026 - Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon - 0-0. In their last head-to-head on 21.10.2025, Arsenal defeated Atletico Madrid 4-0. Additional stats: Atletico Madrid's average possession is 48.6%, yellow cards - 1.4, fouls - 12.6, offsides - 1.4 over 5 matches. Arsenal's possession is 49.6%, yellow cards - 1.0, fouls - 10.4, offsides - 2.0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Atletico Madrid has an average total goals per game of 4, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2. Arsenal's average total is 1.6, scoring 0.8 and conceding the same. In the totals_last_5_matches block, Atletico Madrid has 5 out of 5 over 2.5, Arsenal has 2 out of 5 over 2.5. By halves, Atletico Madrid has 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, 1 out of 5 in the second. Arsenal has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, none in the second. Goal intervals: Atletico Madrid scores most often between 31-45 minutes (27%), concedes between 0-15 and 31-45 (33% each). Arsenal scores evenly across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 (25% each), but concedes most frequently between 16-30 minutes (50%). Given Atletico Madrid's high scoring and Arsenal's low scoring, the bet on total under 2.5 at 1.70 seems justified: Arsenal averages only 1.6 goals in five matches, and Atletico Madrid has only one match out of five with a high-scoring second half.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Atletico Madrid averages 3.8 corners in 5 matches, Arsenal - 6.8. In the totals_last_5_matches block, both teams have 3 out of 5 over 9.5 corners. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 1.80, under 9.5 - 1.90. For corners outcome, Arsenal is favored with odds of 2.04. Considering the averages and frequency of overs, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 9.5, as well as noting Arsenal's high corner activity.