Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Athletic Club

Match Preview

In La Liga on April 25, Atletico Madrid will face Athletic Club. The odds for the outcome: Atletico Madrid win is at 2.41, Athletic Club at 3.00, and a draw is priced at 3.74. In terms of probability: 40.85% for Atletico Madrid to win, 32.82% for Athletic Club, and 26.33% for a draw. This suggests a moderate advantage for Madrid, but Athletic Club also has their chances. The main prediction for the match is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.96.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Atletico Madrid has averaged 46.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Athletic Club has higher possession at 51.4%, 1.6 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1 offside. In the last three matches, Atletico Madrid results were: April 22 - Elche vs Atletico Madrid 3-2, April 18 - Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad 5-6, April 14 - Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona 1-2. For Athletic Club: April 21 - Athletic Club vs Osasuna 1-0, April 12 - Athletic Club vs Villarreal 1-2, April 5 - Getafe vs Athletic Club 2-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on December 6, 2025: Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid 1-0.

How Many Goals in the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club Match

In a five-match series, Atletico Madrid has an average total of 3.4 goals, while Athletic Club has 2.4. In terms of goals scored: Madrid - 1.6, Basques - 0.8. Atletico Madrid concedes 1.8, Athletic Club - 1.6. For over 2.5 total goals, Atletico Madrid has 4 out of 5 over, Athletic Club - 3 out of 5 over. In the first half, Atletico Madrid has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Athletic Club - 2 out of 5. In the second half, Atletico Madrid has 0 out of 5 over 1.5, Athletic Club - 1 out of 5. Goal intervals: Atletico Madrid most often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (38%), Athletic Club between the 76th and 90th minute (44%). Conceded goals for Madrid are most frequent between the 31st and 45th minute (44%), for the Basques evenly from the 16th to the 75th minute (25% each interval). These data confirm that the match is inclined towards high scoring, especially in the first half, and a bet on over 2.5 total goals seems justified.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

On average, over 5 matches, Atletico Madrid earns 3.4 corners, Athletic Club - 7.4. Frequency of over 9.5 corners: both teams have 3 out of 5 games over. Available totals for corners include over 9.5 at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. For corners outcome, Atletico Madrid is the favorite with odds of 1.67. Considering Athletic Club's high activity in deliveries and Atletico Madrid's average figures, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners or Athletic Club's individual total corners.