Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Inter, 26.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the Atletico Madrid vs Inter match?

In the UEFA Champions League, Atletico Madrid will face Inter on November 26, 2025. The odds for an Atletico Madrid win are 2.39, for an Inter victory - 3.17, and a draw is priced at 3.56. According to probabilities, Atletico Madrid's win is estimated at 41.23%, a draw at 27.68%, and Inter's win at 31.09%. Atletico Madrid has a slight edge, but Inter also has a significant chance for success. Over the last five matches, both teams have shown consistent performances, which is reflected in the odds distribution.

Team results and statistics

Atletico Madrid averages 58.2% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and records 2.2 offsides over five matches. Inter, in the same parameters, has 64.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Atletico Madrid's last three matches: 23.11 - Getafe - Atletico Madrid 0-1, 08.11 - Atletico Madrid - Levante 3-1, 04.11 - Atletico Madrid - Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1. Inter's recent games: 23.11 - Inter - Milan 0-1, 09.11 - Inter - Lazio 2-0, 05.11 - Inter - Kairat Almaty 2-1. In the head-to-head match on March 13, 2024, Atletico Madrid and Inter played 2-1, with a total over 2.5. In the previous encounter on February 20, 2024, Inter was stronger 1-0, with a total under 2.5. In August 2018, Atletico Madrid lost to Inter 0-1.

How many goals to expect?

In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid's average total reaches 2.8, while Inter's is 2.4. In the last 5 games, the total over 2.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. By halves, Atletico Madrid had a total over 1.5 in the second half 3 times, and in the first half twice. Inter also had a total over 1.5 in the second half three times, and once in the first half. Atletico Madrid most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (44%) and concedes in the same interval (40%). Inter's most productive period is between the 61st and 75th minutes (56%), with goals conceded most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Both teams consistently create chances, with attacking figures above 1.7 goals per game. In this situation, betting on a total over 2.5 at 1.89 seems justified: both sides regularly score, and there is a clear increase in attacking activity after the break. Furthermore, both teams have had over 2.5 totals in their last five matches, and the second half often turns out to be productive.

Corners in the match

Atletico Madrid averages 10.2 corners per game, while Inter has 7.4. Over the five-match period, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times for both teams. The line for the match has the total corners over 9 at 1.49, under 9 at 2.45. Atletico Madrid is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.70. Given both teams' high activity in corner kicks and frequent over totals, it is logical to consider a bet on total corners over 9, especially since both teams regularly surpass this mark in recent matches. Notably, Atletico Madrid had only one match in the last five with a total corners under 9.5, and Inter had a similar pattern.