Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Mallorca, 25.01.2026

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

The La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca will take place on January 25, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Atletico Madrid is the favorite with odds of 1.34 and a 73.40% chance of winning. Mallorca is priced at 10.60 (9.28%), while a draw is at 5.68 (17.32%). This reflects the difference in current form and team level. Options for total goals offer Over 2.5 at 1.73 and Under 2.5 at 2.28, indicating moderate expectations of scoring. Both teams to score: yes is at 2.06, no at 1.70. Individual totals: Atletico Madrid Over 1.5 is at 1.44, Mallorca Over 0.5 at 1.94. Half-time options: 2nd half total over 1.5 is at 1.92, under at 1.91. For corners: Atletico Madrid to win on corners is at 1.09.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid has an average possession of 54.2%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides per game. Mallorca shows 46.6% possession, 2.2 yellows, 10.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. Atletico Madrid's last three matches were: 01/21/2026 Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid 1-1, 01/18/2026 Atletico Madrid vs Alaves 1-0, 01/13/2026 Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid 0-1. Mallorca's last three games were: 01/17/2026 Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao 3-2, 01/11/2026 Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca 2-1, 01/04/2026 Mallorca vs Girona 1-2. The last head-to-head was on 09/21/2025: Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid's games went over 2.5 goals once, under four times. Mallorca had over 2.5 goals three times, under twice. In the first half, Atletico Madrid had over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5 matches, Mallorca in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Atletico Madrid had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Mallorca in 1 out of 5. Atletico Madrid's average total goals per game is 1.8, Mallorca's is 2.8. Atletico Madrid scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 0.8, while Mallorca scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. Goal intervals show Atletico Madrid most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (75%) and concedes in two intervals - 0-15 and 46-60 minutes (40% each). Mallorca most often scores between 31-45 minutes (33%) and concedes between 16-30 minutes (50%). Based on this data, the match is not expected to be high-scoring, considering Atletico Madrid's low scoring and solid defense, and the fact that over 2.5 goals occurred only once in their last five games. The optimal choice seems to be a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.28.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Atletico Madrid earns 6.8 corners per match, Mallorca 3.6. In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid's total corners over 9.5 occurred 5 times, Mallorca's 3 times. Among the corners markets, the total closest to the average values (10.4) is 10.5, with odds: total corners over 10.5 at 2.00, under 10.5 at 1.94. Atletico Madrid to win on corners is at 1.09. Based on this data, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 10.5, given Atletico Madrid's high average in this area and frequent over 9.5 occurrences in their matches. It's also worth noting that Mallorca falls short in average corners, which could increase Atletico Madrid's edge.