Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Real Oviedo, 29.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Oviedo, scheduled for November 29, 2025, the odds and outcome probabilities are as follows: Atletico Madrid's win is priced at 1.26 (probability of 78.08%), a draw is set at 6.24 (15.77%), and a Real Oviedo win is at 16.00 (6.15%). Atletico Madrid is the clear favorite according to the odds and probabilities. In other markets, the over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.77, while both teams to score: yes is at 2.58 and no at 1.45. There are options for half-time totals and individual totals as well, but the main focus is on the over 2.5 goals, which fits the parameters for the main prediction.

Team Results and Statistics

Atletico Madrid is showing strong form in their last five matches: average ball possession of 59%, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Their last three matches were: 26.11.2025 - Atletico Madrid vs Inter - 2-1, 23.11.2025 - Getafe vs Atletico Madrid - 0-1, 08.11.2025 - Atletico Madrid vs Levante - 3-1. Real Oviedo's stats are: possession 46.8%, 2.2 yellow cards, 14 fouls, 2.6 offsides. Their last three matches were: 23.11.2025 - Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano - 0-0, 09.11.2025 - Athletic Bilbao vs Real Oviedo - 1-0, 03.11.2025 - Real Oviedo vs Osasuna - 0-0. In the head-to-head on 04.01.2023, Real Oviedo lost to Atletico Madrid 0-2, with the over 2.5 goals not being met.

Goals by Match Statistics

In Atletico Madrid's last five matches, the over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, while for Real Oviedo it was 2 out of 5. By halves, Atletico Madrid had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 4 out of 5 matches, but only 1 out of 5 in the first half. Real Oviedo had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 2 out of 5, and 0 out of 5 in the first half. Average figures over 5 matches: Atletico Madrid scores 3 goals per game, Real Oviedo 2.6. Atletico Madrid averages 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Real Oviedo scores 1 and concedes 1.6 on average. Both teams most frequently score between the 76th and 90th minutes (Atletico Madrid - 45%, Real Oviedo - 50%). Atletico Madrid also concedes most often in this period (50%), while Real Oviedo concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%). Given Atletico Madrid's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals, and Real Oviedo's vulnerabilities, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.77 is logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid averages 10.6 corners, Real Oviedo 4.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Atletico Madrid 5 out of 5, Real Oviedo 4 out of 5. The closest to the average total is 14.5, but there are options closer to 15: over 9.5 corners is at 1.76, under 9.5 at 1.95. Atletico Madrid is the favorite in corner outcomes (1.05). Considering the stable figures for both teams in this component, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 corners. Atletico Madrid's individual corner total consistently exceeds 10, while Real Oviedo's is around 4-5 per match.