Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Real Sociedad

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Copa del Rey on April 18, Atletico Madrid will face Real Sociedad. According to the 1X2 odds, Atletico Madrid is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.84 with a probability of 52.68%. A draw is available at 3.74 (25.92%), while a win for Real Sociedad is at 4.53 with a 21.40% chance. This setup reflects Atletico Madrid's edge according to the bookmakers, but Real Sociedad shouldn't be underestimated given their attacking profile in recent games.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atletico Madrid played as follows: April 14, 2026 - Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - 1-2, April 11, 2026 - Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid - 2-1, April 8, 2026 - Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - 0-2. Real Sociedad's last three results were: April 11, 2026 - Real Sociedad vs Alaves - 3-3, April 4, 2026 - Real Sociedad vs Levante - 2-0, March 20, 2026 - Villarreal vs Real Sociedad - 3-1. In their head-to-head on March 7, 2026, Atletico Madrid defeated Real Sociedad 3-2. Over a five-match series, Atletico Madrid averaged 44.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Real Sociedad averaged 55% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. These statistics indicate better discipline and ball control from Real Sociedad, while Atletico Madrid plays more aggressively and commits more fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad

In their last five matches, both teams have shown high scoring levels: Atletico Madrid had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, and Real Sociedad also had 4 out of 5. Atletico Madrid's average goals per match is 3.2, while Real Sociedad's is 4.2. In terms of first-half goals, Atletico Madrid had 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals, and Real Sociedad had 4 out of 5. In the second half, Atletico Madrid had only 1 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, whereas Real Sociedad had 3 out of 5. Atletico Madrid most frequently scored between the 31-45 minute mark (43%) and conceded in the same period (44%). Real Sociedad most often scored between the 16-30 minute mark (36%) and conceded either at the very start (0-15 minutes - 29%) or at the end (76-90 minutes - 29%). This profile of both teams and frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes suggest that betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.93 is justified and logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over 5 matches, Atletico Madrid wins 2.2 corners, while Real Sociedad wins 5.6. In the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 was recorded 2 times out of 5 for both teams. Among the totals for corners, the closest to the average sum (7.8) is the 7.5 line, with both outcomes available: total corners over 7.5 - 1.24, under 7.5 - 3.48. For the outcome of winning on corners, Atletico Madrid is the favorite with odds of 1.63. Based on the statistics, it is logical to expect Real Sociedad to be more active in deliveries, and the overall total corners could be around 8-9, making a bet on total over 7.5 quite reliable for combining with the main prediction.