Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Tottenham

Match Preview

In the Champions League on 10.03.2026, Atletico Madrid will face Tottenham. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Atletico Madrid's victory is at 1.58, a draw is priced at 4.62, and Tottenham's win is at 5.94. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Atletico Madrid - 62.19%, draw - 21.27%, Tottenham - 16.54%. Atletico Madrid is considered the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, which is also reflected in the recent match statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Atletico Madrid shows 49.8% ball possession, receives an average of 1 yellow card per game, commits 6.4 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides. Tottenham, in the same period, shows 42.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per match. Atletico Madrid's last three games: 07.03.2026 - Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad - 3-2, 03.03.2026 - Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - 3-0, 28.02.2026 - Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid - 0-1. Tottenham's last three results: 05.03.2026 - Tottenham vs Crystal Palace - 1-3, 01.03.2026 - Fulham vs Tottenham - 2-1, 22.02.2026 - Tottenham vs Arsenal - 1-4. In the head-to-head match on 29.07.2016, Tottenham lost to Atletico Madrid 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Atletico Madrid has an average total of 4 goals in their last five matches, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6 per game. Tottenham's average total is 3.4, but the team scores only 0.8 and concedes 2.6. Both teams have gone over 2.5 total goals in 4 out of 5 matches. In the first half, Atletico Madrid has gone over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Tottenham has done so in 3 out of 5. In the second half, Atletico Madrid has gone over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, with Tottenham doing so in 2 out of 5. Atletico Madrid most frequently scores between the 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (21% each), while Tottenham scores most often between 31-45 minutes (57%). Atletico Madrid concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (33%) and at the end (76-90 - 33%), while Tottenham concedes at the end of the first half (31-45 - 50%). The statistics suggest a high-scoring match with Atletico Madrid having a clear advantage in goals scored, while Tottenham struggles to score but concedes often. Betting on Atletico Madrid's victory appears the most logical based on these indicators.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for both teams over 5 matches is 3.6 each. The total corners over 9.5 occurred for Atletico Madrid 2 times out of 5, and for Tottenham also 2 out of 5. For the corners total line, the option of over 7.5 is at 1.53, under 7.5 is at 2.38. Based on the averages, a bet on over 7.5 corners seems justified, but there is no indication of extremely high results in this component. Considering the fouls and yellow card stats, the match might proceed with a moderate number of set pieces, which also affects the number of corners.