Prediction for match Atletico Madrid — Valencia, 13.12.2025

Match Analysis: Atletico Madrid vs Valencia

In La Liga on December 13, Atletico Madrid will face Valencia. Odds for an Atletico Madrid victory are 1.35, a draw is at 5.53, and a Valencia win is priced at 10.60. In terms of probability: 72.91% chance of an Atletico Madrid win, 17.80% for a draw, and 9.29% for Valencia. The favorite in this matchup is clear, and the bookmakers give Valencia almost no chance of success.

Team Results and Statistics

Atletico Madrid, over the last five matches, has an average possession of 49%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and gets caught offside 2.4 times per game. Valencia, in the same period, holds 51.2% possession, records 2.8 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In Atletico Madrid's last three matches: 09.12.2025 PSV - Atletico Madrid 2-3, 06.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Atletico Madrid 1-0, 02.12.2025 Barcelona - Atletico Madrid 3-1. Valencia's last three games: 07.12.2025 Valencia - Sevilla 1-1, 04.12.2025 Cartagena - Valencia 1-2, 01.12.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1-1. A notable recent head-to-head: 22.02.2025 Valencia - Atletico Madrid 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Atletico Madrid has an average total of 3 goals per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4. Valencia has an average total of 2 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Atletico Madrid has 3 out of 5 matches over, while Valencia has only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Atletico Madrid has gone over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Valencia has not surpassed this mark. In the second half, Atletico Madrid has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Valencia 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Atletico Madrid most often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (36%), and Valencia in the same period (60%). Atletico Madrid most often concedes between the 46th and 60th minute (60%), Valencia between the 61st and 75th (50%). Given Valencia's low scoring and solid defense, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: No" at 1.60 seems logical. This is supported by the fact that only 1 of Valencia's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals, and they don't score much in the first half.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Both teams average 5.8 corners per game over their last five matches. Atletico Madrid had 3 out of 5 matches over 9.5 total corners, Valencia 2 out of 5. The line closest to the average sum (11.6) is 11.5. Over 11.5 corners is priced at 2.88, under 11.5 at 1.34. For corners, Atletico Madrid is the favorite with odds of 1.16. In this scenario, it makes sense to consider a bet on Atletico Madrid's individual total corners over 6.0 (1.52) or the overall total over 9.5 (1.71), as both teams consistently win corners, and Atletico Madrid tends to be active in the final stages.