Prediction for match Atletico Mineiro — Ceara

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The Copa clash between Atletico Mineiro and Ceara is set for 23.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, an Atletico Mineiro victory is priced at 1.63, a draw at 3.76, and a Ceara win at 5.15. The probabilities are distributed as follows: a 57.14% chance of an Atletico Mineiro win, a 24.77% chance of a draw, and an 18.09% chance of a Ceara victory. This setup highlights Atletico Mineiro's advantage according to bookmakers, though a draw is not out of the question. For total goals, under 2.5 is priced at 1.80, over 2.5 at 1.96, indicating expectations of a low-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atletico Mineiro secured victories against Juventude (2-1, 16.04.2026) and Atletico Paranaense (2-1, 05.04.2026), but lost to Coritiba (0-2, 19.04.2026), Santos (0-1, 11.04.2026), and Puerto Cabello (1-2, 09.04.2026). During the same period, Ceara defeated Nautico Recife (1-0, 11.04.2026) and Cuiaba (2-0, 04.04.2026), and drew with Londrina (0-0, 19.04.2026), Ponte Preta (1-1, 02.04.2026), and Sao Bernardo (1-1, 21.03.2026). On average over five matches, Atletico Mineiro had 60.6% possession, made 12.4 fouls, received 1.2 yellow cards, and was caught offside once per game. Ceara showed 44.4% possession, made 11.6 fouls, received 2.2 yellow cards, and was caught offside 2.2 times. In their last head-to-head on 25.10.2025, Atletico Mineiro defeated Ceara 1-0.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Atletico Mineiro's games went over 2.5 goals three times, under twice. Ceara's games never went over 2.5 goals, all five ended under. The average number of goals in Atletico Mineiro's matches is 2.4, while Ceara's is 1.4. Both teams average 1 goal per game, but Atletico Mineiro concedes 1.4, while Ceara concedes only 0.4. For halves, only 1 of Atletico Mineiro's 5 matches had over 1.5 goals in the first half, 2 out of 5 in the second. Ceara had no matches with over 1.5 goals in either half over 5 games. Atletico Mineiro scores most frequently in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (22% each), while they concede evenly in the 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). Ceara scores most often between 46-60 minutes (40%) and concedes in the late stages (76-90 minutes - 50%). This team profile and goal statistics suggest a high likelihood of a low-scoring game, where under 2.5 goals seems a logical choice. The odds for this outcome are 1.80.

Corner Bets

Both teams average 4.4 corners per match. In the last five matches, Atletico Mineiro's total corners exceeded 9.5 three times, as did Ceara's. The line offers a few totals for corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.74, under 9.5 at 1.98. Atletico Mineiro is favored for corners with odds of 1.24. Considering both teams' average figures and the frequency of the over 9.5 total, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match.