Prediction for match Atletico Mineiro — Flamengo, 26.11.2025

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo

In the Brazilian Serie A on November 26, Atletico Mineiro will face Flamengo. The odds are set at 4.17 for Atletico Mineiro to win, 3.50 for a draw, and 1.94 for a Flamengo victory. Probability-wise, Flamengo has a 49.52% chance, a draw is at 27.45%, and Atletico Mineiro has a 23.04% chance. Flamengo is the favorite according to both the odds and current form of the teams. However, the high probability of a draw adds intrigue to the match. Both teams traditionally compete for top positions in the league, and their head-to-head encounters are often fiercely contested.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atletico Mineiro had an average possession of 57.2%, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 11 fouls, and were caught offside 1.8 times per game. Flamengo, on the other hand, had an average possession of 64%, 2.6 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1 offside. Atletico Mineiro's last three matches: 22.11 Lanus vs Atletico Mineiro 5-4, 16.11 RB Bragantino vs Atletico Mineiro 2-0, 12.11 Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza 3-3. Flamengo's recent results: 23.11 Flamengo vs RB Bragantino 3-0, 15.11 Sport Recife vs Flamengo 1-5, 09.11 Flamengo vs Santos 3-2. Their last head-to-head on 06.08.2025 ended with a 0-1 victory for Flamengo, with under 2.5 goals. This highlights Flamengo's high scoring ability and attacking style, while Atletico Mineiro has shown they can score even against strong opponents.

Total Goals Statistics

In the last 5 games, Atletico Mineiro saw over 2.5 goals in 3 matches, while Flamengo saw it in all 5. Atletico Mineiro's average total is 3.4 goals per game, and Flamengo's is 4.2. In the first half, Atletico Mineiro had over 1.5 goals once, Flamengo twice, but after the break, Atletico Mineiro had 4 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, and Flamengo all 5. Atletico Mineiro most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%), and concedes in the same 61-75 (43%) and 76-90 (43%) intervals. Flamengo's most productive periods are 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (31% each), and they concede most often in the 61-75 (44%) window. All this suggests a high likelihood of a goal-rich second half. Considering both teams play attacking football and Flamengo consistently converts chances, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified. Given Flamengo's consistent scoring of at least 2 goals, and Atletico Mineiro averaging two goals, at least 3 goals can be expected this time.

Corners in the Match

In terms of corners, Atletico Mineiro averaged 7.6 in their last 5 matches, and Flamengo 8.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Atletico Mineiro 3 out of 5, Flamengo 4 out of 5. The line for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.80, under is at 1.95. Flamengo is favored in corners with odds of 1.70. Given the high average number of corners, a bet on over 9.5 seems logical. Also, note that both teams actively use the flanks and frequently earn set pieces, increasing the likelihood of a high number of corners in this match.