Prediction for match Atletico Mineiro — Independiente del Valle, 29.10.2025

What to know before betting?

In the CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament on October 29, 2025, Atletico Mineiro will face Independiente del Valle. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Atletico Mineiro's victory is at 1.62, a draw is at 3.80, and Independiente del Valle's success is at 5.00. Bookmakers consider Atletico Mineiro's victory the most likely outcome, with a probability of 57.13%. A draw is estimated at 24.36%, and the likelihood of Independiente del Valle winning is 18.51%. These figures clearly indicate a strong favorite.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Atletico Mineiro scored an average of 1.2 goals per game and conceded 0.8, with a total goal average of 2. The team averaged 3.4 corners, received 3.6 yellow cards, and committed 14.4 fouls per match, with ball possession at 49.4%. Recent matches include a 1-0 win against Ceara on 25.10.2025, a 1-1 draw with Independiente del Valle on 22.10.2025, and a 1-1 draw with Cruzeiro on 16.10.2025. Independiente del Valle, in the same period, averaged 1.6 goals per match and conceded 0.4, with a total goal average also of 2. Their averages for corners are 4, yellow cards 1.8, fouls 7.6, and ball possession 58.8%. Recent matches include a 2-1 victory over Orense on 17.10.2025, and a 0-3 loss to Barcelona SC on 05.10.2025. In head-to-head encounters, the last three matches were: 1-1 (22.10.2025), 3-1 (19.05.2022), 1-1 (27.04.2022).

How many goals to expect?

Both teams show low scoring tendencies: Atletico Mineiro exceeded 2.5 goals only once in 5 matches, while Independiente del Valle did so twice. On average, the hosts have 2 goals per game, and the visitors similarly have 2. In the first half, both teams exceeded a total of 1.5 goals only once in 5 matches, while in the second half, Atletico Mineiro did so twice, and Independiente del Valle once. Atletico Mineiro tends to score more frequently in the 0-15 minute interval (43%), while Independiente del Valle scores most often in the 0-15 (50%) and 76-90 (50%) minute intervals. Independiente del Valle also concedes most frequently in the 16-30 minute interval (38%), while Atletico Mineiro concedes more at the end, 76-90 minutes (67%). This statistic suggests a cautious game with few goals.

Betting on corners

Atletico Mineiro averages 3.4 corners per match, while Independiente del Valle averages 4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: the hosts 2 times out of 5, the visitors 1 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.10, under 9.5 is 1.67. In terms of corners, Independiente del Valle is considered the favorite, with odds of 2.30 for their victory.