Prediction for match Atletico Paranaense — America Mineiro, 23.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the match between Atletico Paranaense and America Mineiro?

On November 23, a Serie B match will take place between Atletico Paranaense and America Mineiro. According to the odds, Atletico Paranaense is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.44, a draw at 3.95, and an America Mineiro win at 7.95. In terms of probabilities, an Atletico Paranaense win is calculated at 64.70%, a draw at 23.59%, and an America Mineiro win at 11.72%. This setup makes Atletico Paranaense the clear favorite for the match based on bookmakers' evaluations and probability distribution.

Team results and statistics

Atletico Paranaense, in their last five matches, shows 53.4% ball possession, averages 16 fouls per match, receives 2.6 yellow cards, and records 0.8 offsides. America Mineiro maintains possession at 49.4%, with 14.6 fouls, 2.8 yellow cards, and 1.4 offsides per match. Recent matches for Atletico Paranaense: 16.11 Ferroviaria - Atletico Paranaense 1-2, 08.11 Atletico Paranaense - Volta Redonda 2-0, 01.11 Goias - Atletico Paranaense 0-1. America Mineiro: 16.11 America Mineiro - Cuiaba 1-1, 10.11 Chapecoense - America Mineiro 0-1, 03.11 America Mineiro - Novorizontino 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 27.07.2025, America Mineiro and Atletico Paranaense ended in a 2-2 draw, with the total over 2.5.

Goals based on match statistics

In the last five matches, both teams have modest scoring records. Only 1 out of 5 matches for Atletico Paranaense ended with a total over 2.5 goals, and America Mineiro has the same record - 1 out of 5. By halves, Atletico Paranaense had no occurrences of over 1.5 goals in the first half, and in the second half, it happened once in 5 matches. America Mineiro had over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and 3 times in the second half out of 5. Both teams averaged 1.4 goals scored over 5 games, with Atletico Paranaense conceding almost none (0.2), while America Mineiro conceded an average of 0.8 per match. In terms of goal frequency: Atletico Paranaense's most productive periods are the 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (40%), while they concede most in the final minutes (76-90, 67%). America Mineiro scores most between 46-60 minutes (50%) and concedes most in the same period (43%). Overall, these data suggest a low-scoring match, especially considering the low frequency of totals over 2.5. The optimal bet seems to be on under 2.5 goals.

Analysis of corner totals

Regarding corners, both teams are close to each other: Atletico Paranaense averages 5 corners in their last 5 games, and America Mineiro averages 5.2. The frequency of total corners over 9.5 for Atletico Paranaense is 3 out of 5, and for America Mineiro, it is 4 out of 5. For this match, the total corners over 9 is priced at 1.51, and under 9 at 2.03. In terms of corner outcomes, Atletico Paranaense is the favorite with odds of 1.28. Based on recent series, a bet on over 9 corners seems logical, as both teams regularly deliver 5 or more corners per game, and the total over 9.5 has been met in most of their matches.