Prediction for match Atletico Paranaense — Botafogo

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A on March 29, 2026, Atletico Paranaense will face Botafogo. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Atletico Paranaense win at 2.06, draw at 3.38, and Botafogo win at 3.85. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Atletico Paranaense - 46.63%, draw - 28.42%, Botafogo - 24.95%. Atletico Paranaense is considered the favorite, but there is no significant advantage, and both teams are capable of putting up a fight. The options for totals also appear quite balanced, as reflected in the odds for the main lines.

Team Stats and Figures

Atletico Paranaense, over their last five matches, averages 48% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 15.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Botafogo in the same parameters: 51.6% possession, 1.8 yellows, 10.4 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. Atletico Paranaense's last three matches were: 22.03.2026 - Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba - 2-0, 18.03.2026 - Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro - 2-1, 15.03.2026 - Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense - 3-2. For Botafogo: 21.03.2026 - RB Bragantino vs Botafogo - 1-2, 18.03.2026 - Palmeiras vs Botafogo - 2-1, 14.03.2026 - Botafogo vs Flamengo - 0-3. In their last head-to-head on 05.10.2024, Atletico Paranaense lost to Botafogo 0-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo Match?

In their last five matches, Atletico Paranaense has an average total of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Botafogo's average total is 2.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Atletico Paranaense had 2 out of 5 matches over, Botafogo had 4 out of 5 matches over. In the first half, Atletico Paranaense had 3 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Botafogo had 2 out of 5. In the second half: Atletico Paranaense had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Botafogo had 2 out of 5. Atletico Paranaense most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (33%), while Botafogo scores most in the 46-60 minute interval (50%). Conceded goals: Atletico Paranaense has an even distribution across all intervals (20% in each of the five segments), while Botafogo concedes 38% in the first 15 minutes. These numbers indicate a tendency for both teams to be involved in high-scoring matches, especially Botafogo, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 4 out of 5 matches, and an average total of 2.8 goals. Meanwhile, Atletico Paranaense also has decent numbers in terms of goals, with over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. Considering these data, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.12 seems logical, given Botafogo's attacking profile and Atletico Paranaense's regular scoring.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Atletico Paranaense averages 5.4 corners per game, Botafogo - 3.8. For over 9.5 corners: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches over. Among the corner totals, the one closest to the sum of the averages (9.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.72, under 9.5 at 1.98. For corners outcome, Atletico Paranaense is the favorite with odds of 1.43. Given the average activity of both teams in corner kicks, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering both teams can create pressure in the opponent's box and earn corners through attacking actions.