Prediction for match Atletico Paranaense — Coritiba

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A on March 22, Atletico Paranaense will face Coritiba. The odds for Atletico Paranaense to win are 1.98, a draw is priced at 3.35, and a victory for Coritiba is at 4.22. Probability-wise: 48.54% for Atletico Paranaense to win, 28.69% for a draw, and 22.77% for Coritiba to win. Based on these figures, Atletico Paranaense has the edge, but Coritiba is not out of the running.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atletico Paranaense had an average possession of 48.8%, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 16.2 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides per game. Coritiba, in the same period, showed 38.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Atletico Paranaense's recent matches: 18.03.2026 - Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro - 2-1, 15.03.2026 - Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense - 3-2, 25.02.2026 - RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense - 1-1. Coritiba played as follows: 18.03.2026 - Mirassol vs Coritiba - 0-1, 15.03.2026 - Coritiba vs Remo - 1-0, 12.03.2026 - Corinthians vs Coritiba - 0-2. In their last head-to-head on 19.10.2025, Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Atletico Paranaense's average total goals per match is 2.8, while Coritiba's is 2.2. Both teams score similarly at 1.4 goals per game, but Atletico Paranaense concedes 1.4, whereas Coritiba concedes only 0.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Atletico Paranaense, but only 1 out of 5 for Coritiba. In the first half, Atletico Paranaense had more than 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, while Coritiba only once. In the second half, both teams recorded more than 1.5 goals only once out of 5. For goal intervals: Atletico Paranaense often scores in the first 15 minutes (44%) and concedes between 16-30 minutes (33%). Coritiba distributes their goals evenly across four intervals and most frequently concedes between 46-60 minutes (57%). Overall, Coritiba's profile leans towards lower scoring, while Atletico Paranaense has a higher average total, but both teams tend not to have high-scoring second halves. A logical choice would be to bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.68.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Atletico Paranaense averages 5.6 per game over 5 matches, while Coritiba averages 4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Atletico Paranaense had 2 out of 5, Coritiba 4 out of 5. Among available totals, closest to the combined average (9.6) is the total of 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.57, under 9.5 at 2.16. For the outcome on corners, Atletico Paranaense is the favorite with odds of 1.60. Given both teams' average activity and Coritiba's frequency, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering both teams can earn corners in attack and when playing defensively.