Prediction for match Atletico Paranaense — Santos, 12.02.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A, on February 12, 2026, Atletico Paranaense will face Santos. According to the 1X2 odds, Atletico Paranaense's win is priced at 2.28, a draw is at 3.00, and a win for Santos is at 3.72. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Atletico Paranaense win - 42.14%, draw - 32.03%, Santos win - 25.83%. This suggests a slight advantage for Atletico Paranaense, but a draw is also seen as a likely outcome. For total goals, over 2.0 is offered at 1.59, while under 2.5 is at 1.70, reflecting the bookmakers' cautious outlook on expected goal scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atletico Paranaense has an average possession of 46.2%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Over the same period, Santos holds possession 52.2% of the time, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 10.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times. Atletico Paranaense's last three matches: 28.01.2026 - Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense 0-1, 23.11.2025 - Atletico Paranaense vs America Mineiro 1-0, 16.11.2025 - Ferroviaria vs Atletico Paranaense 1-2. Santos' last three matches: 08.02.2026 - Noroeste vs Santos 1-2, 04.02.2026 - Santos vs Sao Paulo 1-1, 31.01.2026 - Sao Paulo vs Santos 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 03.12.2023, Atletico Paranaense confidently defeated Santos 3-0.

Goals by Match Statistics

For average goals over the last 5 matches, Atletico Paranaense averages 1.6, while Santos averages 2.6. Atletico Paranaense scores 1.4 goals per game and concedes just 0.2, whereas Santos scores 1 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, only 1 out of 5 matches for Atletico Paranaense was high-scoring, and 2 out of 5 for Santos. In the first half, over 1.5 goals did not occur in any Atletico Paranaense matches and happened twice for Santos. In the second half, only 1 out of 5 games for Atletico Paranaense was high-scoring, and 2 out of 5 for Santos. For goal intervals: Atletico Paranaense most often scores between 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (25% each), while Santos scores between 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). For goals conceded: Atletico Paranaense most often concedes late (76-90 minutes - 50%), Santos between 61-75 minutes (40%). Overall, the statistics for both teams on totals and goal frequencies indicate a cautious style, especially for Atletico Paranaense, making a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.70 logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Atletico Paranaense averages 4.2 corners per game, Santos 6.4. In the last five matches, both teams recorded over 9.5 corners 4 times out of 5. The total corners line closest to the average sums is 10.5: over 10.5 is priced at 1.99, under at 1.73. In the corner outcome, Atletico Paranaense is favored at 1.73. Considering both teams' activity on corners, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified, and one might also consider betting on Atletico Paranaense to win on corners.