Prediction for match Atletico San Luis — Puebla

Match Analysis: Atletico San Luis vs Puebla

In the Liga MX on February 28, Atletico San Luis will face Puebla. The odds for an Atletico San Luis win are 1.83, a draw is at 3.58, and a Puebla victory is priced at 4.04. In terms of probability: Atletico San Luis - 50.91%, draw - 26.03%, Puebla - 23.06%. Atletico San Luis is the favorite in this matchup, as reflected in both the odds and outcome probabilities. The goal total betting options are over 2.5 at 1.81 and under 2.5 at 1.95. For both teams to score: yes - 1.70, no - 2.04. For individual team totals: Atletico San Luis over 1.5 is at 1.84, Puebla over 1 is at 2.05. Double chance options are: 1X - 1.21, X2 - 1.91, 12 - 1.26. The most likely outcome according to the odds is an Atletico San Luis victory, but the goal total is also an interesting aspect to analyze.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atletico San Luis played against Atlas (2-3), Queretaro (3-0), and Necaxa (1-4). Puebla faced Club America (0-4), UNAM Pumas (2-3), and Tijuana (0-0). Over their last five matches, Atletico San Luis has an average ball possession of 49.8%, with 2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Puebla averages 34.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1 offside. The last head-to-head encounter between these teams took place on November 3, 2024, ending in a 2-0 victory for Atletico San Luis. Previous matches also saw Atletico San Luis coming out on top, highlighting their advantage in this pairing.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Atletico San Luis saw over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Puebla had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5. For Atletico San Luis, the first half saw over 1.5 goals twice, and the second half saw it 4 out of 5 times. Puebla had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once, and twice in the second half. Atletico San Luis averages 1.8 goals scored, while Puebla averages 0.4. In terms of goals conceded: Atletico San Luis - 2.2, Puebla - 1.6. The overall average total goals in Atletico San Luis matches is 4, while for Puebla it's 2. Atletico San Luis most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (31%), and concedes most between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). Puebla spreads its goals across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes, each at 33%. They concede most often between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (38% each). Given Atletico San Luis's high scoring and Puebla's low scoring, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.95 seems justified: Puebla's average scoring is extremely low, and while Atletico San Luis tends to concede, they don't always win by large margins. Also, both teams have not consistently shown an over-profile in recent matches, supporting the choice for an under total.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Average corners over 5 matches: Atletico San Luis - 3.2, Puebla - 3.8. Atletico San Luis never saw over 9.5 total corners (0 out of 5), while Puebla did 4 out of 5 times. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.80, under 9.5 is at 1.88. For corners outcome: a win for Atletico San Luis is priced at 1.64. For individual team corner totals: Atletico San Luis over 4.5 is at 1.54, Puebla over 3.5 is at 1.59. Considering Puebla often hits high corner totals while Atletico San Luis does not, a bet on over 9.5 total corners is logical, especially if the game emphasizes both teams' attacks in the second half. Also, consider individual corner totals for Puebla, given their frequent over 3.5 outcomes.