Prediction for match Auckland — Wellington Phoenix

Match Analysis: Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix

In the A-League on December 6, 2025, Auckland will face Wellington Phoenix. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Auckland's win is priced at 1.54, a draw is at 4.34, and Wellington Phoenix's victory is at 6.36. In terms of probability percentages, Auckland stands at 62.62%, a draw at 22.22%, and Wellington Phoenix at 15.16%, making Auckland the favorite for this match. These figures reflect bookmakers' confidence in Auckland's advantage for the upcoming game.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Auckland has maintained an average possession of 46.6%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Wellington Phoenix shows a higher possession rate of 56.6%, receiving 1 yellow card, committing 9.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides on average per match. Auckland's last three matches had the following results: 30.11.2025 - Auckland vs Newcastle Jets 1-2, 23.11.2025 - Auckland vs Brisbane Roar 1-1, 08.11.2025 - Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland 1-2. Wellington Phoenix played their last three matches as follows: 29.11.2025 - Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United 2-1, 22.11.2025 - Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur 0-1, 08.11.2025 - Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 08.11.2025, Wellington Phoenix lost to Auckland 1-2.

Goals and Match Statistics

In a five-match series, both teams show an average total of 2.4 goals per game. Auckland scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.0, while Wellington Phoenix scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 matches. In terms of halves, Auckland has had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 4 out of 5 games, but under 1.5 in the second half in all 5 matches. Wellington Phoenix had over 1.5 goals in the first half in only 1 out of 5 games, and over 1.5 in the second half in 2 out of 5. Auckland most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%). Wellington Phoenix splits their most frequent goals across three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes, each at 33%, and concedes most often in the first 15 minutes and between the 31st and 45th minutes (33% each). Considering the average scoring, frequency of over 2.5 goals by both sides, and the distribution of goals by halves, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.84 seems reasonable for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Auckland averages 4.8 corners per match, while Wellington Phoenix averages 7.2, totaling 12 corners. In the last five matches, Auckland had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games, and Wellington Phoenix in 4 out of 5. The total closest to the average figures is the 11.5 line: over 11.5 corners is priced at 2.75, under 11.5 at 1.36. Auckland is favored to win the corner count at odds of 1.39. Based on statistics, considering the high average figures and frequent high totals in recent matches, it is logical to consider a bet on over 11.5 corners.