Prediction for match Austria Vienna — Sturm Graz

Match Analysis: Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz

On March 15, 2026, Austria Vienna will face Sturm Graz in the Austrian Bundesliga. According to 1X2 betting odds, Austria Vienna's victory is priced at 2.25, a draw at 3.26, and a win for Sturm Graz at 3.16. In terms of probabilities, Austria Vienna has a 41.63% chance of winning, Sturm Graz 29.64%, and a draw 28.73%. Therefore, Austria Vienna is the slight favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't large, making the betting choice intriguing. The market also offers options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for predictions with odds higher than 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Austria Vienna has been in good form: they defeated Ried 2-0 on March 8, drew 2-2 with LASK on March 1, lost 1-2 to Altach on February 21, won 2-0 against Rapid Vienna on February 15, and beat Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 on February 6. During the same period, Sturm Graz won 2-0 against Altach on March 8, drew 2-2 with Wolfsberger on March 1, beat BW Linz 1-0 on February 22, lost 0-1 to WSG Tirol on February 14, and defeated Ried 1-0 on February 8. Additional stats: Austria Vienna averages 45% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1 offside per match; Sturm Graz averages 50% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on December 14, 2025, Austria Vienna won 3-1 against Sturm Graz.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Austria Vienna has an average total of 2.6 goals in their last five matches, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Sturm Graz's numbers are lower: 1.8 total, 1.2 scored, and 0.6 conceded. Austria Vienna has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Sturm Graz has done so in only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Austria Vienna has gone over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Sturm Graz has not managed it. In the second half, both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. For goal intervals: Austria Vienna often scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), while Sturm Graz frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (43%). In terms of goals conceded: Austria Vienna is most vulnerable between 16-30 minutes (43%), Sturm Graz between 61-75 minutes (100%). These stats suggest a moderately high-scoring game, but Austria Vienna has a higher attacking potential than their opponent. Considering the average scoring and over 2.0 goal performance of both teams, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.47 seems logical, but for the main prediction, we choose over 2.5 goals at 2.00, as Austria Vienna has a high scoring rate, and Sturm Graz can contribute to the scoreline.

Corners in the Match

On average, Austria Vienna has 4.2 corners in their last 5 matches, while Sturm Graz has 3.4, totaling 7.6. Over 9.5 corners occurred only once in 5 matches for both teams. According to odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.77, while under 9.5 is at 1.92. Austria Vienna is the favorite for more corners with odds of 1.75. The combined corner stats suggest a lower total, so betting on under 9.5 corners seems reasonable. Meanwhile, Austria Vienna tends to take more corners, which is reflected in their odds advantage for corners.