Prediction for match Auxerre — Lyon, 23.11.2025

Auxerre vs Lyon Match Analysis

On November 23, a Ligue 1 match between Auxerre and Lyon will take place. The odds clearly favor Lyon, with a win for them at 2.05, a draw at 3.64, and a win for Auxerre at 3.94. In terms of probability distribution, Lyon stands at 48.00%, a draw at 27.03%, and Auxerre at 24.97%. This indicates an advantage for the visitors, but the probability of a draw is also quite high, highlighting the potential caution from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Auxerre shows 46.8% ball possession, averages 2.2 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and has 1.4 offsides per game. Lyon, on the other hand, has 48% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and averages 2.4 offsides. Auxerre's last three matches: 09.11.2025 - Angers - Auxerre 2-0, 01.11.2025 - Auxerre - Marseille 0-1, 29.10.2025 - Strasbourg - Auxerre 3-0. Lyon's results: 09.11.2025 - Lyon - PSG 2-3, 06.11.2025 - Real Betis - Lyon 2-0, 02.11.2025 - Brest - Lyon 0-0. In their last head-to-head on 13.04.2025, Auxerre lost to Lyon 1-3, with over 2.5 goals scored.

Goals Statistics

In a series of five matches, Auxerre had 2 instances of over 2.5 goals, while Lyon had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Auxerre recorded over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5 matches, Lyon in 3 out of 5. In the second halves, Auxerre exceeded 1.5 goals 3 times, Lyon 2 times. The average number of goals in Auxerre's matches is 2.2, and for Lyon, it's 3.2, with Auxerre scoring only 0.4 and Lyon 1.4. Both teams concede 1.8 goals on average. Auxerre most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (57%), while Lyon's scoring peaks are split between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each). Auxerre concedes evenly across four intervals, while Lyon peaks at 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (29% each). Given these stats and Auxerre's low scoring rate, along with Lyon's average productivity, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical, with odds at 1.93.

Corner Bets

Auxerre earns an average of 4.8 corners per game, while Lyon averages 3.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Auxerre 1 out of 5, Lyon 2 out of 5. The line for the match has over 8.5 corners at 1.48, under 8.5 at 2.46. Lyon is more likely to win on corners, with odds at 1.88. Statistics suggest a total corners range of 8-9, so a bet on over 8.5 corners has a chance to win, considering both teams' average figures.