Prediction for match Auxerre — Strasbourg

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 1, Auxerre will face Strasbourg on March 7th. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Strasbourg win at 2.22, a draw at 3.36, and an Auxerre victory at 3.76. Based on these odds, the probability distribution is as follows: Auxerre - 26.23%, draw - 29.35%, Strasbourg - 44.42%. Thus, Strasbourg is seen as the favorite according to both odds and probabilities, with the draw also receiving significant support.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Auxerre averages 46.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Strasbourg shows 55% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Auxerre's last three games: 01.03.2026 Lorient - Auxerre 2-2, 22.02.2026 Auxerre - Rennes 0-3, 15.02.2026 Metz - Auxerre 1-3. Strasbourg's recent results: 03.03.2026 Strasbourg - Reims 2-1, 27.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lens 1-1, 22.02.2026 Strasbourg - Lyon 3-1. In their last head-to-head on 29.10.2025, Strasbourg defeated Auxerre 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Auxerre's last five matches, the average number of goals per game is 2.2, while Strasbourg averages 3.2. Auxerre scores an average of 1 goal per match and concedes 1.2, whereas Strasbourg scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Auxerre had 3 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, and Strasbourg had 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice in Auxerre's matches and once in Strasbourg's. In the second half, Auxerre hit over 1.5 goals once out of 5, while Strasbourg did it 3 times. Looking at goal intervals: Auxerre most frequently scores and concedes between 16-30 minutes (67% and 38% respectively), while Strasbourg is most productive between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (30% each), and concedes most between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Overall, both teams tend to play high-scoring matches, especially Strasbourg, as shown by average goals and the frequency of over 2.5 goals. Hence, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.06 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Auxerre averages 5 corners per game over their last five matches, while Strasbourg averages 4.4. Regarding the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Auxerre had 2 out of 5 matches, and Strasbourg 4 out of 5. Among available totals on corners, the line closest to the average sum (9.4) is over 9.5 at 2.03 and under 9.5 also at 2.03. Auxerre is the favorite on corner outcomes with odds of 1.98. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given Strasbourg's high frequency of reaching this total and Auxerre's respectable average.