Prediction for match Avellino — Carrarese

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Italy's Serie B on January 17th, Avellino will face Carrarese. The odds for an Avellino win are 2.68, for a Carrarese victory - 2.76, and a draw is priced at 2.97. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Avellino - 34.80%, Carrarese - 33.79%, draw - 31.40%. The balance of power in both odds and percentages is quite close, indicating a highly competitive match-up. Key lines for totals: over 2.5 goals is at 2.00, under 2.5 is 1.78. Both teams to score: yes - 1.72, no - 2.01. Individual totals: Avellino over 1 goal - 1.54, Carrarese over 1 goal - 1.56. Second half total options: over 1.5 - 2.13, under 1.5 - 1.67. Exact score options: 1:1 - 6.00, 0:0 - 7.10, 1:0 - 8.00, 0:1 - 8.00, 1:2 - 9.00, 2:1 - 9.50.

Team Stats and Match Analysis

In their last five matches, Avellino averages 46.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Carrarese in the same period shows 47.4% possession, 2 cautions, 12 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Avellino's last three matches: 10.01.2026 - Avellino vs Sampdoria - 2-1, 27.12.2025 - Bari vs Avellino - 1-1, 20.12.2025 - Avellino vs Palermo - 2-2. Carrarese's: 10.01.2026 - Carrarese vs Bari - 1-0, 27.12.2025 - Carrarese vs Mantova - 0-0, 20.12.2025 - Monza vs Carrarese - 4-1. In their head-to-head on 21.09.2025, Carrarese and Avellino played a 3-4 thriller.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Avellino averages 2.4 goals per game, Carrarese - 3. Avellino scores and concedes 1.2 each, Carrarese scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 for Avellino, and 3 out of 5 for Carrarese. Over 1.5 goals in the first half didn't happen for Avellino, but occurred 2 out of 5 for Carrarese. In the second halves: Avellino had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Carrarese - 2 out of 5. Avellino most frequently scores between minutes 31-45 and 46-60 (43% each), Carrarese - between 46-60 (27%). Conceded goals: Avellino mostly in 61-75 and 76-90 (40% each), Carrarese in 61-75 (50%). In the last five matches, Carrarese hit over 2.5 goals three times, Avellino twice. The combined goal stats and frequency of totals suggest that betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.00 is a logical option for this match.

Corners: Stats and Possible Bets

Avellino averages 3.2 corners per match, Carrarese - 5.6. For over 9.5 corners: Avellino had 1 out of 5, Carrarese 4 out of 5. For a total of 8.5, there are a couple of quotes: over 8.5 - 1.50, under 8.5 - 2.31. Avellino is the favorite on corner outcomes with odds of 2.01. Considering Carrarese's consistent high corner counts, betting on over 8.5 corners is logical. It's also noteworthy that Carrarese generally delivers more set pieces than Avellino, confirmed by their frequent over 9.5 totals.