Prediction for match Avellino — Cesena

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Italy's Serie B on January 31, Avellino will face Cesena. Bookmakers have pegged Cesena as the favorite: Cesena's win is priced at 2.32, a draw at 3.08, and an Avellino victory at 3.21. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 40.39% for a Cesena win, 30.42% for a draw, and 29.19% for Avellino. The goal total line offers under 2.5 goals at 1.66 and over 2.5 goals at 2.18, reflecting moderate expectations for scoring. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.86, no at 1.84. For individual team totals: Avellino's over 1 goal is at 1.90, Cesena's over 1 goal is at 1.53.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Avellino played as follows: they lost to Spezia 0-1 on January 24, lost to Carrarese 1-2 on January 17, and beat Sampdoria 2-1 on January 10. In the same period, Cesena lost to Bari 1-2 on January 24, defeated Reggiana 2-1 on January 17, and won against Empoli 1-0 on January 10. In their head-to-head on November 9, 2025, Cesena was stronger than Avellino with a 3-0 score. Secondary statistics for Avellino over 5 games show an average of 55.6% possession, 3 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Cesena's stats are 56.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides, indicating high activity from both teams in ball possession and challenges.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Avellino's average total goals is 2.6, while Cesena's is 2.2. Avellino scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4, while Cesena scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4. In 5 games, Avellino played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice, while Cesena went over twice and under three times. By halves, Avellino has three instances of over 1.5 goals in the second half, but only one in the first. Cesena has only one instance of over 1.5 goals in the second half and two in the first. Avellino most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 46-60 minute marks (29% each), while Cesena scores most often between the 16-30 and 46-60 minute marks (40% each). Avellino most frequently concedes between the 61-75 minute mark (50%), while Cesena concedes most often between the 16-30 and 46-60 minute marks (33% each). Overall, the teams lean towards lower scores: Cesena has low scoring, and Avellino is moderate but not highly prolific. A bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems logical, given that both teams lack a strong over-profile, and the under 2.5 has occurred in 5 of their last 10 combined games.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Avellino averages 5.4 corners per match, while Cesena averages 7.8. In the last 5 matches, both teams have gone over 9.5 corners twice and under three times. Looking at the line, over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.01, while under 9.5 is at 1.67. Cesena is favored for corners with odds of 1.74. Statistically, Cesena regularly delivers more than 7 corners per game, while Avellino is just above 5. In this situation, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is reasonable, given the average figures for both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 in recent matches.