Prediction for match Avellino — Empoli, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Avellino vs Empoli

In the Serie B clash on November 22, Avellino will face Empoli. According to the odds, Avellino's victory is priced at 2.31, a draw at 3.04, and Empoli's win at 3.27. The probability of outcomes, based on the data, is 40.55% for Avellino, 30.81% for a draw, and 28.64% for Empoli. With these figures, Avellino is considered a moderate favorite, but the gap in chances is not significant. A draw is also a highly considered outcome, with nearly a third of predictions suggesting it.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Avellino has an average ball possession of 56.2%, takes 5.2 corners, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Empoli, on the other hand, has 38.6% possession, averages 3.6 corners, 3.2 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Recent results for Avellino: November 9 - Cesena 3-0 Avellino; November 1 - Avellino 4-3 Reggiana; October 28 - Pescara 1-1 Avellino. For Empoli: November 8 - Empoli 1-0 Catanzaro; November 1 - Virtus Entella 1-0 Empoli; October 28 - Empoli 1-1 Sampdoria. In their last head-to-head on February 27, 2018, Empoli and Avellino drew 1-1, with under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Avellino has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 games and under in 2. Empoli has seen over 2.5 goals in only 1 game and under in 4. On average, Avellino's matches feature 3.6 goals, while Empoli's have 1.8. Avellino scores 1 goal per game and concedes 2.6, while Empoli scores 0.8 and concedes 1. By halves: Avellino has seen two or more goals in the first half in 4 out of 5 matches, but only 2 out of 5 in the second half over 1.5. Empoli has had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 matches and 1 out of 5 in the second. The most frequent scoring interval for Avellino is the 31-45 minute mark (40%), with goals conceded mostly between 76-90 (38%). Empoli's goals are spread between 31-45 and 76-90 (33% each), with goals conceded in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 (33% each). Given Avellino's average scoring and Empoli's weak attack, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.63 seems logical. This option appears optimal: Avellino is often involved in high-scoring matches, while Empoli regularly concedes, though they score less frequently.

Corners in the Match

Avellino averages 5.2 corners per game, while Empoli averages 3.6. In the last five games, Avellino had 2 instances of over 9.5 total corners, and Empoli had 3. The odds for corners: over 8.5 is priced at 1.54, under 8.5 at 2.01. Avellino's win on corners is rated at 1.91, Empoli's at 2.42. Statistics suggest that betting on over 8.5 total corners is quite feasible - both teams regularly deliver at least 3-5 corners per game, providing a solid basis for this total to be surpassed.