Prediction for match Avellino — Frosinone, 11.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Italy's Serie B on February 11, Avellino will face Frosinone. According to the 1X2 odds, Frosinone is favored to win with odds of 2.27, which corresponds to a 41.26% probability. A draw is priced at 3.06 (30.61%), while a victory for Avellino is at 3.33 (28.13%). This setup reflects Frosinone's advantage in current form and recent statistics, but the high odds for a draw also suggest a closely contested match. Interestingly, the difference between the chances of a win and a draw is minimal, indicating a potential tight battle.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Avellino has an average possession of 51.4%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Frosinone holds the ball 51% of the time, receives 2.8 yellows, commits 19.2 fouls, and records 2 offsides. In their last three games, Avellino lost to Monza 1-2 (08.02.2026), defeated Cesena 3-1 (31.01.2026), and lost to Spezia 0-1 (24.01.2026). During the same period, Frosinone lost to Venezia 1-2 (07.02.2026), drew with Virtus Entella 1-1 (31.01.2026), and beat Reggiana 1-0 (24.01.2026). The last head-to-head meeting was on August 24, 2025, when Frosinone won 2-0 against Avellino.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Avellino has an average total of 2.8 in their last five matches, scoring and conceding 1.4 goals each. Frosinone has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1 goal per game. Avellino's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Frosinone has seen this in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Avellino had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Frosinone had only 1 out of 5. In the second half, Frosinone shows 4 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5, Avellino has 2 out of 5. Avellino is most likely to score between the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute marks (22% each), while they concede most often in the first 15 minutes (40%). Frosinone is most active in scoring in the second half: 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and they mostly concede in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 60%). Considering Avellino's frequent over 2.5 totals, both teams' consistent scoring, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Avellino averages 5.8 corners per match, while Frosinone's average is slightly higher at 6. In the last five matches, Avellino had 4 out of 5 games with a total of more than 9.5 corners, while Frosinone had 2 out of 5. Among the proposed lines for corner totals, the closest to the average sum (11.8) is a total of 9.5: with odds of 1.94 for over and 1.75 for under. Frosinone is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.90. Given both teams' activity in deliveries, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners or Frosinone's advantage in this aspect.