Prediction for match Avispa Fukuoka — Gamba Osaka, 30.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the J1 League of Japan, Avispa Fukuoka will face Gamba Osaka on November 30. The odds for an Avispa Fukuoka victory are set at 2.71, while Gamba Osaka's win is at 2.75, with a draw at 3.17. The probabilities are nearly evenly distributed: 35.21% for Avispa Fukuoka, 34.69% for Gamba Osaka, and 30.10% for a draw. This distribution of odds suggests a closely contested match, with no clear favorite. Such balance in percentages and odds adds intrigue for analyzing other markets.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Avispa Fukuoka averaged 48.6% possession, committed 11.4 fouls, had 1.4 offsides, and received 0.6 yellow cards per game. Gamba Osaka has been noticeably more active in these metrics: 58.8% possession, 11.8 fouls, 2.6 offsides, and 0.6 yellow cards. In their last three games, Avispa Fukuoka played as follows: November 8 - Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka, October 26 - Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Shonan Bellmare, October 18 - Machida Zelvia 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka. Gamba Osaka's last three matches: November 9 - Gamba Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe, November 5 - Nam Dinh 0-1 Gamba Osaka, October 25 - Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Gamba Osaka. The last head-to-head meeting was on February 22, 2025: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka, with over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Avispa Fukuoka has shown very modest scoring: only 1 out of 5 matches went over 2.5 goals, with the other 4 going under. For Gamba Osaka, 2 out of 5 ended with three or more goals, while three went under. In the first halves, Avispa Fukuoka had 0 out of 5 over 1.5, while Gamba Osaka had 1 out of 5. In the second halves, Avispa Fukuoka had 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Gamba Osaka had 3 out of 5. On average, Avispa Fukuoka scores 1 goal per match, with 0.6 scored and 0.4 conceded; Gamba Osaka averages 2.8 goals, with 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. Avispa Fukuoka tends to score most in the late stages (76-90 minutes, 67%), and concedes either in the middle of the first half (16-30, 50%) or at the end (76-90, 50%). Gamba Osaka distributes their goals evenly: 33% in the intervals of 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90, while they concede most often early on (0-15, 33%). Given Avispa Fukuoka's low scoring and only two high-scoring games for Gamba Osaka, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems justified.

Analysis of Total Corners

Over the last five matches, Avispa Fukuoka averaged 3.6 corners, while Gamba Osaka averaged 4.2. In 2 out of 5 matches, Avispa Fukuoka saw a total of over 9.5 corners, while Gamba Osaka had 1 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (7.8) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.72, under 8.5 is at 1.98. Avispa Fukuoka leads in corner outcomes with odds at 2.01. Given the low averages for corners and the infrequent occurrence of high totals, considering under 8.5 corners is logical. However, both teams are not prone to a high number of corners, so a cautious approach to betting on this market is justified.