Prediction for match Avispa Fukuoka — Shimizu S-pulse

Match Analysis: Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse

In the J1 League on March 18, Avispa Fukuoka will face Shimizu S-Pulse. The odds for a win are almost equal: Shimizu S-Pulse is at 2.62, Avispa Fukuoka at 2.63, and a draw is at 3.22. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 35.45% for Avispa Fukuoka to win, 35.59% for Shimizu S-Pulse, and 28.96% for a draw. The odds for over 2.5 goals are set at 2.18, standing out among the main betting options. Considering the close odds and the teams' chances, it's worth focusing on the goal totals.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Avispa Fukuoka recorded an average ball possession of 38.6%, 2.6 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Shimizu S-Pulse had higher possession at 48.8%, 1.4 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Avispa Fukuoka lost to V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 (15.03.2026), Nagoya Grampus 1-5 (07.03.2026), and Vissel Kobe 1-2 (27.02.2026). Shimizu S-Pulse won against Fagiano Okayama 5-3 (14.03.2026), lost to Cerezo Osaka 2-4 (07.03.2026), and had a high-scoring draw with Gamba Osaka 6-7 (28.02.2026). Their last encounter ended in a goalless draw on 23.08.2025.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match period, Avispa Fukuoka has an average match goal total of 2.8, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 2.4. Shimizu S-Pulse has an average goal total of 1.8, scoring 1 and conceding 0.8. Avispa Fukuoka has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Shimizu S-Pulse has seen it in 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Avispa Fukuoka has 2 out of 5, and Shimizu S-Pulse has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Avispa Fukuoka has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Shimizu S-Pulse has 3 out of 5. Goal intervals show Avispa Fukuoka scores most often between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Shimizu S-Pulse scores between 46-60 minutes (60%). Conceded goals for Avispa Fukuoka are evenly spread across 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 (25% each), while Shimizu S-Pulse concedes all in the last 15 minutes (76-90, 100%). Despite both teams not frequently surpassing over 2.5 goals in the last 5 games, their average goal figures and the frequency of high-scoring finishes suggest that betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.18 is justified - especially given Shimizu S-Pulse's recent high-scoring matches (5-3, 6-7, 2-4). Also, Avispa Fukuoka's heavy defeats indicate defensive instability. The combined goal data and end-game dynamics lean towards choosing over 2.5 goals.

Corner Totals Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka averages 3.6 corners, while Shimizu S-Pulse averages 6.2 over the last 5 matches. For over 9.5 corners, Avispa Fukuoka has 2 out of 5, and Shimizu S-Pulse has 4 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.97, while under 9.5 is 1.78. Together, the teams average around 9.8 corners per game, which is close to the set total. Avispa Fukuoka is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.87. It's logical to consider betting on over 9.5 corners, given Shimizu S-Pulse's high activity in this aspect and Avispa Fukuoka's decent frequency. Additionally, individual corner totals for Shimizu S-Pulse are worth considering, as they consistently deliver a lot of corners.