Prediction for match AVS — Arouca, 17.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on January 17, AVS faces Arouca. According to the odds, Arouca is the favorite: a win for them is priced at 2.58, while AVS's victory is at 2.96, and a draw is at 3.28. The probability of Arouca winning is 37.62%, AVS 32.79%, and a draw 29.59%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.20, under 2.5 goals are 1.73. Both teams to score: yes - 1.83, no - 1.87. The option for over 2.0 goals is at 1.57, and under 2.0 is 2.20. For double chance, 1X is at 1.54, X2 at 1.43, and 12 at 1.37.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, AVS had an average possession of 37%, received 3 yellow cards, committed 12.6 fouls, and had 1.4 offsides per game. Arouca, on the other hand, had higher possession at 54.2%, with an average of 2.6 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In AVS's last three matches: January 3, 2026 - AVS vs Moreirense - 0-2, December 29, 2025 - Porto vs AVS - 2-0, December 21, 2025 - AVS vs Nacional - 2-2. Arouca's last three matches: January 3, 2026 - Tondela vs Arouca - 3-1, December 28, 2025 - Arouca vs Gil Vicente - 2-2, December 21, 2025 - Santa Clara vs Arouca - 0-0. In their head-to-head on August 9, 2025, Arouca defeated AVS 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, AVS had an average total of 3 goals per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.4 per game. Arouca had an average total of 2.6, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: AVS had 2 out of 5, Arouca had 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals: AVS had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second, Arouca had 3 out of 5 in the first and 1 out of 5 in the second. AVS most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (45%), while Arouca scores most often in the first 15 minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded, AVS concedes most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), and Arouca in the same period (50%). Considering the average scoring rate of both teams, the frequency of over totals, and the distribution of goals by halves, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.20 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For the average number of corners over 5 matches: AVS has 3.2, Arouca has 5.6, totaling 8.8 per game. For over 9.5 corners: AVS had 2 out of 5, Arouca had 3 out of 5. For a corner total of 8.5, both odds are available: over 8.5 is at 1.60, under 8.5 is at 2.11. Based on the averages and frequencies, a bet on over 8.5 corners looks logical. For the outcome on corners, Arouca is the favorite with odds of 1.89. On average, Arouca delivers more corners, which is supported by recent match statistics.