Prediction for match AZ Alkmaar — Heerenveen

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen

On April 12, 2026, AZ Alkmaar will face Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: AZ Alkmaar win at 1.70, draw at 4.37, and Heerenveen win at 4.46. In percentage terms: 56.49% chance for an AZ Alkmaar win, 21.98% for a draw, and 21.53% for Heerenveen. AZ Alkmaar is highlighted as the favorite, but both teams have shown high scoring in recent matches, adding intrigue to the betting choices.

Team Results and Statistics

AZ Alkmaar, over their last five games, has an average possession of 53.2%, receives 1 yellow card, commits 9.2 fouls, and has 2 offsides per match. Heerenveen shows 50% possession, 1.4 yellows, 10.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, AZ Alkmaar played as follows: 09.04.2026 - Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar - 3-0, 04.04.2026 - AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard - 2-0, 22.03.2026 - Groningen - AZ Alkmaar - 3-0. For Heerenveen: 05.04.2026 - Heerenveen - Heracles - 4-1, 22.03.2026 - NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen - 2-2, 14.03.2026 - Heerenveen - Telstar - 3-0. In their last head-to-head on 23.11.2025, Heerenveen defeated AZ Alkmaar 3-1.

Goals Statistics

Both teams are distinguished by their attacking profiles. In their last five matches, AZ Alkmaar averages 3.2 goals per game, while Heerenveen averages 3.6. AZ Alkmaar scores 2 and concedes 1.2 per match, whereas Heerenveen scores 2.6 and concedes 1. Over 5 matches, AZ Alkmaar had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5, and Heerenveen in all 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams, and in the second half, 4 times out of 5 for each. In terms of goal timing: AZ Alkmaar most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (42%) and concedes most often from 61 to 75 minutes (50%). Heerenveen's most productive period is 46-60 minutes (33%), and they concede most often from 31 to 45 minutes (50%). This profile for both teams suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, especially in the second half. A bet on over 3.5 goals is at 1.94 and seems a logical choice given both teams' attacking statistics.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

AZ Alkmaar averages 7.6 corners per match, while Heerenveen averages 5.4. Over the last 5 games, AZ Alkmaar had over 9.5 corners 4 times, and Heerenveen 2 times. Among the odds for total corners, there is a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.69, under 9.5 at 2.02. AZ Alkmaar is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.43. Considering the average figures for both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Also, note AZ Alkmaar's high corner activity.