Prediction for match AZ Alkmaar — PSV Eindhoven, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven

As part of the Dutch Eredivisie, on November 9, 2025, AZ Alkmaar will face PSV Eindhoven. The odds for the main outcomes highlight PSV as the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.10, AZ Alkmaar's win at 3.00, and a draw at 4.00. In terms of probabilities, PSV stands at 44.94%, AZ Alkmaar at 31.46%, and a draw at 23.60%. Thus, bookmakers lean towards an away win, but the team from Alkmaar also has a significant chance of a positive result. These figures suggest that the match could be eventful and high-scoring, given both teams' attacking styles.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, AZ Alkmaar has shown an average possession of 54.8%, 1.2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. PSV's stats are as follows: 58.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, AZ Alkmaar played as follows: November 6 - Crystal Palace 3-1 AZ Alkmaar, November 2 - Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 AZ Alkmaar, October 26 - AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Utrecht. PSV's last three matches: November 4 - Olympiacos 1-1 PSV, October 31 - PSV 5-2 Fortuna Sittard, October 26 - Feyenoord 2-3 PSV. In their previous head-to-head on January 11, 2025, PSV and AZ Alkmaar drew 2-2, with the total over 2.5 goals. This indicates that both teams are in good form, with PSV particularly stable in attack.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, AZ Alkmaar had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, while PSV had it in 4 out of 5, confirming the visitors' high scoring ability. By halves, AZ Alkmaar had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 4 out of 5 and in the second half in 2 out of 5. PSV had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 4 out of 5 and in the first half in 2 out of 5. Average figures over five matches: AZ Alkmaar averages 2.6 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. PSV's average total is 5, scoring 3.4 and conceding 1.6. By intervals: AZ Alkmaar most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (36%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th and 61st and 75th minutes (33% each). PSV most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (31%) and concedes in the same interval (33%). These stats suggest a high-scoring match, especially after the break. Based on the frequency of overs and average scoring activity, betting on over 3.5 goals at 1.91 seems reasonable, but the main prediction is over 1.5 goals in the second half at 1.57, as the second half is often more productive for both teams.

Corner Totals Analysis

AZ Alkmaar averages 6.8 corners per match, while PSV averages 5.6. Over the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 came through 3 times for AZ Alkmaar and 2 times for PSV. The odds for this match are 1.80 for over 9.5 corners and 1.91 for under. For the corners outcome, AZ Alkmaar is the favorite at 1.95, with PSV at 2.10. For individual totals: AZ Alkmaar over 4.5 corners at 1.73, under at 2.00, and PSV's both sides at 1.83 for a total of 4.5. Overall, the statistics indicate that betting on over 9.5 corners is justified, as both teams actively use the flanks and take many set-pieces. Moreover, both have a high average number of corners per game.