Prediction for match AZ Alkmaar — Shelbourne, 27.11.2025

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Shelbourne

The UEFA Conference League match between AZ Alkmaar and Shelbourne will take place on November 27. The odds for the outcomes in regular time are as follows: a win for AZ Alkmaar is priced at 1.22, a draw at 7.18, and a victory for Shelbourne at 13.80. According to the probabilities calculated from these odds, AZ Alkmaar has a 79.47% chance of winning, a draw is at 13.50%, and Shelbourne's chances of winning are 7.03%. AZ Alkmaar is clearly favored, but the goal total odds are also noteworthy, with over 2.75 goals offered at 1.54 and over 3.0 goals at 1.70.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, AZ Alkmaar has averaged 54.6% possession, received 1 yellow card, committed 8.6 fouls per match, and been caught offside once per game. Shelbourne, over the same period, averages 48% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In AZ Alkmaar's last three matches: November 23 - Heerenveen 3-1 AZ Alkmaar, November 9 - AZ Alkmaar 1-5 PSV, November 6 - Crystal Palace 3-1 AZ Alkmaar. For Shelbourne: November 6 - Shelbourne 0-1 FC Drita, November 1 - Shelbourne 0-0 St. Patrick's Athletic, October 26 - Bohemian 2-3 Shelbourne. AZ Alkmaar has conceded more goals in these matches, while Shelbourne has shown a more restrained defensive performance. Notably, AZ Alkmaar averages 5.4 corners per game, while Shelbourne averages 5.

Goals According to Match Statistics

In their last five matches, AZ Alkmaar has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Shelbourne has seen it in 2 out of 5. On average, AZ Alkmaar has 4 goals per game, and Shelbourne has 2.2. The first half for AZ Alkmaar has also been productive: 4 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, while Shelbourne has 2 out of 5. The second half for AZ Alkmaar goes over 1.5 in 4 out of 5 cases, Shelbourne in 2 out of 5. AZ Alkmaar most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%), and concedes between the 61st and 75th (40%). Shelbourne scores most often in two intervals: 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (50% each), and concedes between 76-90 (40%). The average number of goals scored by AZ Alkmaar is 1.6, while Shelbourne scores 1.2. In terms of goals conceded: AZ Alkmaar 2.4, Shelbourne 1. Given AZ Alkmaar's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals, and strong half-time figures, betting on over 2.75 goals seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

AZ Alkmaar averages 5.4 corners over five matches, while Shelbourne averages 5. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for AZ Alkmaar is 4 out of 5, and for Shelbourne, it's 3 out of 5. The line for the match highlights over 9.5 corners at 2.08 and under 9.5 at 1.70. Additionally, AZ Alkmaar is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.08. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering both teams' stable performance on wing deliveries and the high frequency in recent matches.