Prediction for match AZ Alkmaar — Sparta Praha

Match Preview

In the Conference League on March 12, AZ Alkmaar will face Sparta Prague. According to the odds, AZ Alkmaar is the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.17, a draw is at 3.49, and a win for Sparta Prague is at 3.51. The probabilities are distributed as follows: AZ Alkmaar win - 44.64%, draw - 27.76%, Sparta Prague win - 27.60%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.90, while under 2.5 is at 1.98. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.66, no is at 2.09. For individual totals, AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 is at 2.04, Sparta Prague over 1.5 is at 2.82. This suggests that bookmakers expect a high-scoring game with chances for goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, AZ Alkmaar played as follows: on March 7, they lost to PSV 1-2, on March 4, they defeated Telstar 2-1, and on March 1, they lost to Utrecht 0-2. Over five matches, AZ Alkmaar's averages are: possession 50.4%, yellow cards 2.2, fouls 10.6, offsides 0.8. Sparta Prague, in their last three games, lost to Slavia Prague 1-3 on March 8, thrashed Banik Ostrava 5-2 on February 28, and drew with Viktoria Plzen 0-0 on February 22. Over five matches, Sparta Prague's averages are: possession 59.4%, yellow cards 3.2, fouls 13, offsides 0.8. The teams haven't met recently, so attention is on their current form and statistics.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams are showing attacking football: AZ Alkmaar's average total goals over five games is 3.2, same as Sparta Prague. AZ Alkmaar scores 2 goals per match, concedes 1.2, while Sparta Prague scores 2.2 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals, AZ Alkmaar had 4 out of 5 high-scoring games, Sparta Prague had 3 out of 5. In the first half, AZ Alkmaar had 3 out of 5 games with 2 or more goals, Sparta Prague had 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals. Goal intervals: AZ Alkmaar often scores between 76-90 minutes (31%), and concedes evenly in three periods: 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Sparta Prague's most frequent goals also come between 76-90 minutes (36%), and they concede most in 61-75 and 76-90 (33% each). This confirms the high likelihood of a high-scoring match, where both sides are likely to score and support the over 2.5 goals total.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

AZ Alkmaar averages 4.6 corners per game, Sparta Prague 5. In the last five matches, both teams had only one game with a total over 9.5 corners. Looking at the odds, for a corners total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 1.88, under is at 1.80. For corners, Sparta Prague is favored with odds of 1.97. Considering the averages and frequencies, it's reasonable to expect 9-10 corners in the match, but there's no clear trend for a high total. A cautious bet on a corners total around 9.5 is possible, but without a strong over tendency.