Prediction for match Azerbaijan — Iceland

Match Analysis: Azerbaijan vs Iceland

In the World Cup Qualification Europe, Azerbaijan will face Iceland on November 13, 2025. The odds for Iceland's victory are 1.53, a draw is at 4.20, and Azerbaijan's win is rated at 6.00. The calculated probabilities are: Iceland - 61.76%, draw - 22.50%, Azerbaijan - 15.75%. The favorite according to both the odds and the percentages is Iceland, which is backed by recent match statistics and a strong attacking performance.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Azerbaijan has an average ball possession of 31.6%, with 2.6 warnings, 11.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. During the same period, Iceland averages 53.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Azerbaijan's last three games were: 13.10.2025 Ukraine - Azerbaijan 2-1, 10.10.2025 France - Azerbaijan 3-0, 09.09.2025 Azerbaijan - Ukraine 1-1. For Iceland: 13.10.2025 Iceland - France 2-2, 10.10.2025 Iceland - Ukraine 3-5, 09.09.2025 France - Iceland 2-1. In their last head-to-head on 05.09.2025, Iceland thrashed Azerbaijan 5-0, with the Over 2.5 goals being recorded.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Azerbaijan has an average of 3.2 goals per game, scoring only 0.6 and conceding 2.6. Iceland's matches average 4.2 goals, with 2.2 scored and 2 conceded. In four of the last five matches for both teams, the Over 2.5 goals occurred. By halves, Azerbaijan had two matches with Over 1.5 in the first half and three in the second half, while Iceland had similarly two in the first and three in the second. Azerbaijan most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (42%), while Iceland scores in two intervals: 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (38% each). Azerbaijan most frequently concedes between 31-45 minutes (50%), and Iceland in 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). The high goal averages, frequent Over totals, and active scoring intervals for both teams support the choice of betting on Over 2.5 goals. The odds for Over 2.5 are 1.80.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average over five matches, Azerbaijan wins 2 corners, while Iceland gets 3.2. For the frequency of Over 9.5 corners: Azerbaijan has three out of five matches over, Iceland only one. The line for Over 9.5 corners is at 2.10, under at 1.67. Iceland is favored to win on corners at 1.44. Statistics suggest a cautious bet on Under 9.5 corners, considering only Azerbaijan frequently exceeded the threshold, and Iceland did not consistently surpass it.