Prediction for match Bahia — Atletico Paranaense

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense

On April 1, 2026, Bahia will face Atletico Paranaense in Brazil's Serie A. According to the 1X2 odds, Bahia is priced at 1.83, a draw at 3.62, and an Atletico Paranaense win at 4.57. In terms of probability percentages, Bahia has a 52.47% chance, a draw 26.52%, and Atletico Paranaense 21.01%. Bahia is seen as the favorite by the odds and percentages, but the gap isn't significant, adding intrigue to the match. The betting markets also offer options on goal totals, both teams to score, individual performances, and double chance, allowing for a variety of betting styles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bahia played as follows: March 22, 2026, Remo 4-1 Bahia, March 18, 2026, Bahia 2-0 RB Bragantino, March 15, 2026, Internacional 0-1 Bahia. Atletico Paranaense's last three results: March 29, 2026, Atletico Paranaense 4-1 Botafogo, March 22, 2026, Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Coritiba, March 18, 2026, Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Cruzeiro. In their head-to-head on November 24, 2024, Bahia and Atletico Paranaense drew 1-1. Looking at secondary statistics, Bahia averaged 59.8% possession over five matches, with 2.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Atletico Paranaense showed 46% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides in the same period. These figures indicate Bahia's more controlling style and Atletico Paranaense's slightly better discipline.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of goal activity, Bahia has an average of 2.6 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Atletico Paranaense has a higher average total of 3.4, with 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Bahia played over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Atletico Paranaense did so in 3 out of 5. By halves, Bahia went over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 times out of 5, but only once in the second half. Atletico Paranaense went over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5 and twice in the second. Bahia most frequently scores and concedes between 31-45 minutes (45% and 40% respectively), while Atletico Paranaense is most productive in the first 15 minutes (33%) and concedes evenly across all fifteen-minute intervals of the second half (20% each). These stats confirm both teams' scoring capabilities, with Atletico Paranaense showing high productivity. Considering both teams' average scoring and Atletico Paranaense's frequent over 2.5 goal matches, a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.03 seems justified.

Corners: Stats and Potential Bets

Bahia averages 5.6 corners per match, Atletico Paranaense 4. In their last five matches, Bahia went over 9.5 corners three times, Atletico Paranaense twice. Among corner markets, the total closest to their average (9.6) is 9.5, with odds at 1.70 for over 9.5 corners and 2.01 for under 9.5. Bahia is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.52. Expect 9-10 corners in this match, making a bet on over 9.5 corners logical given the frequency and averages. Bahia also regularly delivers more than 5 corners per game, highlighting their activity on the flanks.