Prediction for match Bahia — Fortaleza, 20.11.2025

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Fortaleza

On November 20, Bahia will face Fortaleza in the Brazilian Serie A. The main odds for the 1X2 market are as follows: Bahia's win is priced at 1.55, a draw at 4.42, and Fortaleza's win at 5.81. According to the probabilities, Bahia has a 61.83% chance of success, a draw is rated at 21.68%, and Fortaleza has a 16.49% chance. Bahia appears to be the favorite, but Fortaleza has shown resilience throughout the championship. The match is expected to be competitive and likely to see goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Bahia had an average ball possession of 54%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Fortaleza's possession was more modest at 39.6%, with the team averaging 2.8 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Bahia's last three matches: 08.11 - Internacional 2-2 Bahia, 05.11 - Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Bahia, 02.11 - Bahia 2-1 RB Bragantino. Fortaleza's matches: 12.11 - Atletico Mineiro 3-3 Fortaleza, 09.11 - Fortaleza 2-2 Gremio, 06.11 - Ceara 1-1 Fortaleza. In their head-to-head on 19.07.2025, Fortaleza and Bahia drew 1-1, with the Under 2.5 goals bet winning. The match on 10.07.2025 ended in a 2-1 victory for Bahia, and on 22.09.2024, Fortaleza won 4-1.

Goal Statistics

In the last five games, Bahia averaged 2.6 goals per match, while Fortaleza averaged 2.8. Bahia scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.6, while Fortaleza scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4. The Over 2.5 goals bet was successful in 3 out of 5 matches for Bahia and 2 out of 5 for Fortaleza. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Bahia had it 3 times out of 5, and Fortaleza only once. Bahia most frequently scores in the intervals of 31-45 (27%) and 61-75 (27%), while Fortaleza scores most often between 0 and 15 minutes (38%). Bahia concedes most frequently in three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (33% each). Fortaleza most often concedes at the end of the first half (31-45, 33%). Considering both teams' attacking stats and frequent Over 2.5 goals outcomes, a bet on Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems justified. The high-scoring intervals and average goal stats also support this goal-heavy prediction.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five matches, Bahia earned 4.4 corners per game, while Fortaleza earned 5.6. The frequency of Over 9.5 corners was 3 out of 5 for both teams. The odds for total corners are: Over 9.5 at 1.96, Under 9.5 at 1.79. Fortaleza is favored in the corner market with odds of 2.01. Based on the average and frequent corner data, considering an Over 9.5 corners bet is rational, as both teams regularly deliver at least 4-5 corners per match and tend to play attacking football down the flanks.