Prediction for match Bahia — O'Higgins

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Copa Libertadores on 25.02.2026, Bahia will face O'Higgins. Bahia is the favorite according to the odds: a victory for them is priced at 1.29, a draw is at 5.61, and an O'Higgins win is at 11.60. The probability distribution is as follows: Bahia - 74.56%, draw - 17.15%, O'Higgins - 8.29%. The most likely outcome is a Bahia win; however, with odds below 1.50, attention should be given to the goal totals, where under 3.0 goals is priced at 1.51.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Bahia averages 46.6% possession, receives 3.8 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and records 2 offsides per game. O'Higgins holds the ball 53.2% of the time, receives 2.2 yellows, commits 12.2 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Bahia played as follows: 18.02.2026 - O'Higgins vs Bahia - 1-0, 12.02.2026 - Vasco da Gama vs Bahia - 0-1, 05.02.2026 - Bahia vs Fluminense - 1-1. O'Higgins in their last three matches: 21.02.2026 - O'Higgins vs Colo-Colo - 0-1, 18.02.2026 - O'Higgins vs Bahia - 1-0, 14.02.2026 - Deportes Limache vs O'Higgins - 2-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on 18.02.2026 - O'Higgins vs Bahia - 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, both teams have shown low scoring profiles: both Bahia and O'Higgins had over 2.5 goals only once in 5 matches, and under 4 times out of 5. The average number of goals in Bahia's matches is 1.8, and for O'Higgins, it's 1.4. Both teams score 0.8 goals per match and concede: Bahia - 1, O'Higgins - 0.6. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in 5 matches for each team, in the second half - Bahia once in 5, O'Higgins not at all. In terms of goal intervals, Bahia and O'Higgins most often score between 0-15 minutes (40% each) and 76-90 minutes (40% each). Bahia concedes more often between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (50% each), O'Higgins - between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (50% each). Given the low scoring, consistent unders on totals, and lack of a clear over-profile by halves, betting on under 3.0 goals at 1.51 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bahia averages 5.2 corners per match, O'Higgins - 3.8. Over a five-match span, Bahia had over 9.5 total corners 3 times, O'Higgins - 1 time out of 5. The line closest to the average sum of corners is 9.5. In this matchup, over 9.5 total corners is priced at 2.05, under 9.5 at 1.75. Considering Bahia's average activity on corners and O'Higgins' less high activity, betting on under 9.5 corners seems justified. Also, Bahia earns corners more frequently, which might affect the set-piece distribution in this match.