Prediction for match Baltika — Spartak Moscow, 29.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The Russian Premier League presents an intriguing matchup: Baltika faces Spartak Moscow on November 29, 2025. The 1X2 odds show Spartak Moscow as the favorite, with odds of 2.44 for their victory. Baltika's win is valued at 3.28, and a draw is at 3.32. In terms of outcome probabilities, Baltika has a 30.01% chance, a draw is at 29.65%, and Spartak Moscow stands at 40.34%. These figures indicate that Spartak Moscow is seen as the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't large, adding intrigue to the points distribution.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Baltika has 49% ball possession, averages 3.8 yellow cards, 20 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Spartak Moscow is more active in possession with 57.6%, receiving 2.2 yellow cards, committing 17.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Baltika's last three matches: 22.11.2025 Orenburg - Baltika 0-0, 09.11.2025 Baltika - Krasnodar 1-1, 02.11.2025 Baltika - Akhmat 2-0. Spartak Moscow's matches: 22.11.2025 Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow 1-0, 09.11.2025 Akhmat - Spartak Moscow 1-2, 02.11.2025 Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow 2-1. Their last head-to-head was on 26.07.2025: Spartak Moscow - Baltika 0-3, with a total over 2.5.

How Many Goals in Baltika vs Spartak Moscow

Looking at the total goals over the last five matches, Baltika had over 2.5 goals in 1 out of 5, while Spartak Moscow had it in 2 out of 5. In first halves, Baltika had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Spartak Moscow in 0 out of 5. In second halves, Baltika never went over 1.5, while Spartak Moscow did in 3 out of 5. The average goals per match for Baltika is 1.4, and for Spartak Moscow, it's 2. Both teams score 1.2 goals per game, but Baltika concedes just 0.2, while Spartak Moscow concedes 0.8. Goal intervals: Baltika often scores in the first 15 minutes (67%), and Spartak Moscow between 46-60 minutes (33%). Baltika concedes mostly in the first 15 minutes (50%), Spartak Moscow between 46-60 (50%). Overall, the stats suggest a restrained match with not many goals, especially in the first half. The main prediction is under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65.

Corner Total Analysis

Baltika averages 3.6 corners per match, Spartak Moscow 3.2. Over the last 5 matches, Baltika had over 9.5 corners once, Spartak Moscow never. Considering the corner total closest to their average sum (6.8) is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.60, under 8.5 at 2.18. In corner outcomes, Baltika is favored at 1.88. Based on the data, it's logical to consider under 8.5 corners, given both teams' low averages and the infrequency of high totals in recent matches.