Prediction for match Barcelona — Atletico Madrid, 02.12.2025

Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid

An exciting clash in La Liga is set for December 2, 2025, between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid. The odds for a Barcelona win are 1.84, Atletico Madrid's success is priced at 4.22, and a draw stands at 4.26. In terms of probabilities: Barcelona is given a 53.53% chance, a draw 23.12%, and Atletico Madrid 23.34%. This suggests a slight edge for Barcelona, but Atletico Madrid cannot be underestimated.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Barcelona showed confident ball possession, averaging 63.8%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Atletico Madrid also maintained good control with 60% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2 offsides on average. In their last three matches, Barcelona defeated Alaves 3-1, lost to Chelsea 0-3, and thrashed Athletic Bilbao 4-0. Atletico Madrid beat Real Oviedo 2-0, Inter 2-1, and Getafe 1-0. In their last head-to-head on April 2, 2025, Atletico Madrid lost to Barcelona 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Barcelona has been involved in high-scoring matches recently, with an average of 4.6 goals per game, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.8. Atletico Madrid's matches average 2.8 goals, with 2.2 scored and just 0.6 conceded. Regarding over 2.5 total goals, Barcelona hit 5 out of 5, while Atletico Madrid had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Barcelona had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, Atletico Madrid in 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5. Barcelona most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (27%), while Atletico Madrid scores often at the end (76-90 minutes, 30%). Barcelona concedes more often early (0-15 minutes, 38%), while Atletico Madrid concedes at the end (76-90 minutes, 50%). These stats support betting on over 3.0 total goals at odds of 1.63.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In their last 5 games, Barcelona averaged 3.6 corners, while Atletico Madrid averaged 10.2. For over 9.5 corners, Barcelona hit 1 out of 5, Atletico Madrid 4 out of 5. The line closest to the average values is 13.5: over 13.5 corners is priced at 3.10, under 13.5 at 1.39. Atletico Madrid has a clear edge in corner bets, with odds of 1.25 for their corner win. Considering Atletico Madrid's activity in this area, a high corner total bet seems logical.