Prediction for match Bari — Frosinone, 22.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Serie B match between Bari and Frosinone will take place on November 22, 2025. Analyzing the odds, Frosinone is the favorite: the odds for an away win are 2.49, for Bari's win - 2.80, and for a draw - 3.20. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Frosinone's success is estimated at 37.49%, Bari's at 33.34%, and a draw at 29.17%. This suggests a closely contested match, but with a slight edge for the visitors. It's likely that both teams will play cautiously, considering the importance of the match for both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bari has shown average ball possession (45.6%), with 1.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1 offside per game. During the same period, Frosinone has 47.4% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides on average. Bari's last three matches recorded the following results: November 7, 2025 - Spezia vs Bari 1-1, November 2, 2025 - Bari vs Cesena 1-0, October 26, 2025 - Bari vs Mantova 1-0. For Frosinone: November 8, 2025 - Frosinone vs Modena 2-2, November 1, 2025 - Carrarese vs Frosinone 0-2, October 28, 2025 - Frosinone vs Virtus Entella 4-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on February 2, 2025, ending in a 2-1 victory for Bari, with the total over 2.5 goals. Over a five-match span, Bari averages 1.2 goals, while Frosinone averages 1.8.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Bari's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred twice, the same as for Frosinone - 2 out of 5. By halves, Bari had 2 instances of over 1.5 goals in the second half, and also 2 out of 5 in the first half. Frosinone had 2 occurrences of over 1.5 goals in the second half, but none in the first half. The average total goals over 5 games for Bari is 2.2, and for Frosinone is 2.6. In terms of scoring intervals, Bari most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), while Frosinone splits focus between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each). Bari concedes goals across three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (33% each). For Frosinone, half of the goals conceded occur between the 31st and 45th minutes. Given that neither team is showing highly prolific scoring runs, and the total over 2.5 goals occurred only in 2 out of 5 matches for each, it makes sense to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals. The odds for this outcome are 1.73, and based on recent matches and average scoring, this option seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last five matches, Bari averages 5.2 corners, while Frosinone averages 6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Bari is 2 out of 5, and for Frosinone - 3 out of 5. The odds for the total corners: over 8.5 is at 1.53, under 8.5 is 2.25. Frosinone is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 2.05. Considering the average values and frequencies, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical: both teams regularly deliver 5 or more corners, which increases the likelihood of this total being surpassed given their playing styles.