Prediction for match Bari — Sudtirol

Match Analysis: Bari vs. Sudtirol

On May 15th, Bari will face Sudtirol in Serie B. According to the 1X2 odds, a Bari win is priced at 2.45, a draw at 3.10, and a Sudtirol victory at 2.97. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Bari - 38.24%, draw - 30.22%, Sudtirol - 31.54%. Bari is the slight favorite, but the gap is narrow, promising a tight contest. Both teams are in a position where every point is crucial, and the odds for totals and both teams to score are also balanced.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bari recorded the following results: on May 8th, Catanzaro 2-3 Bari, May 1st, Bari 2-0 Virtus Entella, April 24th, Avellino 2-0 Bari. During the same period, Sudtirol played as follows: May 8th, Sudtirol 1-1 Juve Stabia, May 1st, Sampdoria 1-0 Sudtirol, April 25th, Sudtirol 0-3 Mantova. In their last head-to-head on February 15th, Bari lost to Sudtirol 1-2. Secondary statistics show Bari's average possession over five matches at 34.2%, while Sudtirol's is 43.8%. Bari averages 1.4 yellow cards per game, Sudtirol 1.2. Fouls: Bari - 12.4, Sudtirol - 12.2. Offsides: Bari - 0.2, Sudtirol - 1. These numbers suggest Sudtirol controls the ball more often and is slightly more active on the offside line, while both teams are similar in fouls and cards.

Goal Totals Statistics

In a five-match series, Bari's average total goals per match is 2.8, while Sudtirol's is 3. Bari averages 1 goal scored and 1.8 conceded, while Sudtirol averages 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have seen 2 out of 5 matches go over, and 3 under. By halves, Bari has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half three times. Sudtirol has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half three times and only once in the second half. By goal intervals: Bari most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), and concedes evenly across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 (33% each). Sudtirol's goals are distributed across four intervals: 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75 (20% each), while they most often concede between 31-45 minutes (50%). Overall, both teams do not show high scoring efficiency, especially Sudtirol with 0.6 goals per game, while Bari's defense is not reliable - conceding 1.8. The combined totals and average goals suggest betting on under 2.5 goals, priced at 1.64. This total has been seen in 3 of the last 5 matches for both teams, and their attacking stats do not promise a high-scoring game.

Corner Totals Analysis

In terms of corners, Bari averages 1.8 per game over the last five matches, while Sudtirol averages 4.4. In a five-game series, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Bari and twice for Sudtirol. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (1.8 + 4.4 = 6.2) is the 6.5 total, but the odds only offer totals of 9.5 and above. The market has rarely seen totals over 9.5, indicating low activity in this area. In such a situation, it makes sense to consider options for under 9.5 corners if a suitable price appears. Overall, the statistics show neither team tends to win many corners, especially Bari, which reduces the likelihood of high totals in this area.