Prediction for match Bastia — Boulogne

Match Preview

In the French Ligue 2 on March 13, Bastia will face Boulogne. The odds for Bastia's victory are 2.03, a draw is at 3.18, and Boulogne's success is valued at 3.84. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 46.15% for Bastia's win, 29.46% for a draw, and 24.40% for Boulogne's victory. Based on these figures, Bastia appears to be the favorite, although the difference between the teams isn't too significant, making it a potentially tight match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bastia averaged 45.4% ball possession, committed 12.6 fouls, 1.6 offsides, and received 2 yellow cards per game. Boulogne showed 53.6% possession, 14.6 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 2.8 warnings. Bastia's last three results were: 06.03.2026 Pau - Bastia 2-2, 27.02.2026 Bastia - Annecy 0-2, 20.02.2026 Dunkerque - Bastia 1-1. Boulogne played as follows: 06.03.2026 Boulogne - Amiens 4-2, 27.02.2026 Grenoble - Boulogne 0-0, 20.02.2026 Boulogne - Clermont Foot 0-2. The last head-to-head match was on 22.01.2021: Boulogne - Bastia 1-2.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Bastia vs Boulogne Match

In Bastia's last five matches, the total over 2.5 occurred once, under 2.5 occurred four times, while for Boulogne it's the opposite: over 2.5 occurred three times, under 2.5 occurred twice. The average number of goals in Bastia's matches is 1.6, with the team scoring 0.6 and conceding 1 goal per game. Boulogne shows 2.8 goals on average, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4. In terms of halves, Bastia recorded over 1.5 goals in the first half three times in five games, and none in the second half. Boulogne had only 1 out of 5 in the first half over 1.5, but in the second half, it was 4 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Bastia most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), while Boulogne scores late, from 76 to 90 minutes (50%). Bastia concedes more often in the first 15 minutes (40%), Boulogne from 46 to 90 minutes (25% in each of the three segments). Considering Boulogne's tendency for high-scoring second halves and their overall higher average scoring, a bet on over 1.75 goals at 1.59 seems logical.

Corners in the Match

In their last five matches, Bastia averaged 4 corners, Boulogne 4.8. For the total over 9.5 corners, Bastia had no occurrences, Boulogne had 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals closest to the average (8.8) is the line at 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.66, under 8.5 at 1.67. In the corners market, Bastia is the favorite with odds of 1.45. Considering the average corner activity of both teams and the not-so-high frequency of high totals, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified for stats enthusiasts.